Under 3.5 Goals — model probabilities

Zero, one, two or three total goals at full-time. Matches ranked by model probability.

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Kickoff times: Europe/Belgrade

Mon, 2 Nov 2026 · 52 matches

• Cherno More – Botev Vratsa2 Nov 16:00
  Under 3.5Model 80.7%Implied 82.6%-2.0%
• Novara – Desenzano2 Nov 20:30
  Under 3.5Model 80.4%Implied 78.7%▲ +1.6%
• Fortaleza – Atletico GO2 Nov 20:00
  Under 3.5Model 79.1%Implied 79.4%-0.2%
• Radnicki Nis – Zeleznicar Pancevo2 Nov 18:00
  Under 3.5Model 79.1%Implied 78.1%▲ +1.0%
• CR Belouizdad – Saoura2 Nov 20:00
  Under 3.5Model 78.3%Implied 84.0%-5.8%
• Red Star – Nancy2 Nov 20:45
  Under 3.5Model 77.7%Implied 76.9%▲ +0.8%
• Penafiel – Feirense2 Nov 19:00
  Under 3.5Model 77.6%Implied 81.3%-3.7%
• Mladost – Radnik2 Nov 18:00
  Under 3.5Model 77.3%Implied 82.6%-5.3%
• Al Jabalain – Al Bukiryah2 Nov 13:30
  Under 3.5Model 77.3%Implied 80.0%-2.7%
• Al Orubah – Al Anwar2 Nov 13:30
  Under 3.5Model 77.2%Implied 80.0%-2.8%
• Arda – Septemvri Sofia2 Nov 18:30
  Under 3.5Model 75.3%Implied 82.6%-7.3%
• Zaglebie – Korona Kielce2 Nov 18:00
  Under 3.5Model 75.0%Implied 76.9%-2.0%
• Mallorca – Cadiz CF2 Nov 21:00
  Under 3.5Model 74.8%Implied 75.8%-1.0%
• Juventus U23 – Pro Vercelli2 Nov 20:30
  Under 3.5Model 74.4%Implied 70.9%▲ +3.5%
• Valladolid – Leganes2 Nov 18:30
  Under 3.5Model 74.0%Implied 78.7%-4.8%
• LKS Lodz – Polonia Warszawa2 Nov 20:30
  Under 3.5Model 73.9%Implied 73.0%▲ +0.9%
• Oviedo – Las Palmas2 Nov 16:15
  Under 3.5Model 73.3%Implied 76.3%-3.0%
• Polonia Bytom – Odra Opole2 Nov 18:00
  Under 3.5Model 73.1%Implied 72.5%▲ +0.6%
• Bravo – Koper2 Nov 17:00
  Under 3.5Model 72.7%Implied 68.0%▲ +4.7%
• Lorient – Brest2 Nov 20:45
  Under 3.5Model 72.6%Implied 78.7%-6.1%
• Athletic Club – Ceara2 Nov 22:00
  Under 3.5Model 72.4%Implied 84.0%-11.7%
• Newcastle – Everton2 Nov 21:00
  Under 3.5Model 71.4%Implied 69.0%▲ +2.4%
• Mjallby – Kalmar2 Nov 19:00
  Under 3.5Model 70.6%Implied 76.9%-6.3%
• Al Zulfi – Al Jandal2 Nov 15:55
  Under 3.5Model 70.4%Implied 80.6%-10.3%
• Empoli U20 – Cagliari U202 Nov 11:00
  Under 3.5Model 70.0%Implied 66.7%▲ +3.4%
• GAIS – AIK2 Nov 19:00
  Under 3.5Model 70.0%Implied 67.1%▲ +2.9%
• Portland Timbers – Houston Dynamo2 Nov 03:45
  Under 3.5Model 69.6%Implied 64.5%▲ +5.1%
• VPS – HJK2 Nov 17:00
  Under 3.5Model 69.6%Implied 58.8%▲ +10.7%
• Ostrava B – Jihlava2 Nov 17:00
  Under 3.5Model 69.5%Implied 64.1%▲ +5.4%
• S. Rzeszow – Puszcza2 Nov 20:30
  Under 3.5Model 69.4%Implied 70.4%-1.0%
• Reims – Sochaux2 Nov 20:45
  Under 3.5Model 69.1%Implied 71.9%-2.9%
• Atromitos – Volos2 Nov 17:00
  Under 3.5Model 69.0%Implied 77.5%-8.5%
• Inter Turku – Gnistan2 Nov 17:00
  Under 3.5Model 68.7%Implied 66.7%▲ +2.1%
• Oster – Helsingborg2 Nov 19:00
  Under 3.5Model 68.1%Implied 66.2%▲ +1.9%
• Landskrona – Orebro2 Nov 19:05
  Under 3.5Model 67.5%Implied 66.7%▲ +0.8%
• Malmo FF W – Norrkoping W2 Nov 18:00
  Under 3.5Model 67.3%Implied 62.1%▲ +5.2%
• Krylya Sovetov – Zenit2 Nov 16:00
  Under 3.5Model 66.6%Implied 68.5%-1.9%
• Rakow – Pogon Szczecin2 Nov 20:30
  Under 3.5Model 65.4%Implied 64.5%▲ +0.9%
• Radomiak Radom – Slask Wroclaw2 Nov 18:00
  Under 3.5Model 64.4%Implied 64.5%-0.1%
• Sassuolo – Fiorentina2 Nov 18:30
  Under 3.5Model 64.3%Implied 63.7%▲ +0.6%
• Al Naser – Al Shabab2 Nov 16:45
  Under 3.5Model 64.1%Implied 71.9%-7.9%
• Jong Ajax – Vitesse2 Nov 20:00
  Under 3.5Model 63.4%Implied 53.5%▲ +9.9%
• Atalanta – Parma2 Nov 20:45
  Under 3.5Model 63.3%Implied 65.4%-2.0%
• Los Angeles FC – Minnesota United2 Nov 02:30
  Under 3.5Model 62.4%Implied 61.7%▲ +0.7%
• FC Voluntari – Farul Constanta2 Nov 16:30
  Under 3.5Model 62.3%Implied 71.9%-9.7%
• U. Cluj – FCSB2 Nov 19:30
  Under 3.5Model 60.8%Implied 68.0%-7.3%
• Jong Utrecht – Dordrecht2 Nov 20:00
  Under 3.5Model 60.3%Implied 60.2%▲ +0.0%
• New England Revolution – Inter Miami2 Nov 01:00
  Under 3.5Model 57.0%Implied 55.2%▲ +1.7%
• Sonderjyske – FC Copenhagen2 Nov 19:00
  Under 3.5Model 55.9%Implied 61.3%-5.4%
• Benfica – Alverca2 Nov 21:15
  Under 3.5Model 52.9%Implied 53.8%-0.9%
• Hacken W – Kristianstad W2 Nov 18:00
  Under 3.5Model 46.0%Implied 58.5%-12.5%
• Heracles – Oss2 Nov 20:00
  Under 3.5Model 44.2%Implied 49.0%-4.8%

#	Match	Date	Time	Market	Model %▼	Implied	Divergence	Odds
1	Cherno More–Botev VratsaParva liga	2 Nov	16:00	Under 3.5	80.7%	82.6%	-2.0%	1.21
2	Novara–DesenzanoSerie C - Group A	2 Nov	20:30	Under 3.5	80.4%	78.7%	▲ +1.6%	1.27
3	Fortaleza–Atletico GOSerie B	2 Nov	20:00	Under 3.5	79.1%	79.4%	-0.2%	1.26
4	Radnicki Nis–Zeleznicar PancevoSuper Liga	2 Nov	18:00	Under 3.5	79.1%	78.1%	▲ +1.0%	1.28
5	CR Belouizdad–SaouraLigue 1	2 Nov	20:00	Under 3.5	78.3%	84.0%	-5.8%	1.19
6	Red Star–NancyLigue 2	2 Nov	20:45	Under 3.5	77.7%	76.9%	▲ +0.8%	1.30
7	Penafiel–FeirenseLiga Portugal 2	2 Nov	19:00	Under 3.5	77.6%	81.3%	-3.7%	1.23
8	Mladost–RadnikSuper Liga	2 Nov	18:00	Under 3.5	77.3%	82.6%	-5.3%	1.21
9	Al Jabalain–Al BukiryahDivision 1	2 Nov	13:30	Under 3.5	77.3%	80.0%	-2.7%	1.25
10	Al Orubah–Al AnwarDivision 1	2 Nov	13:30	Under 3.5	77.2%	80.0%	-2.8%	1.25
11	Arda–Septemvri SofiaParva liga	2 Nov	18:30	Under 3.5	75.3%	82.6%	-7.3%	1.21
12	Zaglebie–Korona KielceEkstraklasa	2 Nov	18:00	Under 3.5	75.0%	76.9%	-2.0%	1.30
13	Mallorca–Cadiz CFLaLiga2	2 Nov	21:00	Under 3.5	74.8%	75.8%	-1.0%	1.32
14	Juventus U23–Pro VercelliSerie C - Group A	2 Nov	20:30	Under 3.5	74.4%	70.9%	▲ +3.5%	1.41
15	Valladolid–LeganesLaLiga2	2 Nov	18:30	Under 3.5	74.0%	78.7%	-4.8%	1.27
16	LKS Lodz–Polonia WarszawaDivision 1	2 Nov	20:30	Under 3.5	73.9%	73.0%	▲ +0.9%	1.37
17	Oviedo–Las PalmasLaLiga2	2 Nov	16:15	Under 3.5	73.3%	76.3%	-3.0%	1.31
18	Polonia Bytom–Odra OpoleDivision 1	2 Nov	18:00	Under 3.5	73.1%	72.5%	▲ +0.6%	1.38
19	Bravo–KoperPrva liga	2 Nov	17:00	Under 3.5	72.7%	68.0%	▲ +4.7%	1.47
20	Lorient–BrestLigue 1	2 Nov	20:45	Under 3.5	72.6%	78.7%	-6.1%	1.27
21	Athletic Club–CearaSerie B	2 Nov	22:00	Under 3.5	72.4%	84.0%	-11.7%	1.19
22	Newcastle–EvertonPremier League	2 Nov	21:00	Under 3.5	71.4%	69.0%	▲ +2.4%	1.45
23	Mjallby–KalmarAllsvenskan	2 Nov	19:00	Under 3.5	70.6%	76.9%	-6.3%	1.30
24	Al Zulfi–Al JandalDivision 1	2 Nov	15:55	Under 3.5	70.4%	80.6%	-10.3%	1.24
25	Empoli U20–Cagliari U20Primavera 1	2 Nov	11:00	Under 3.5	70.0%	66.7%	▲ +3.4%	1.50
26	GAIS–AIKAllsvenskan	2 Nov	19:00	Under 3.5	70.0%	67.1%	▲ +2.9%	1.49
27	Portland Timbers–Houston DynamoMLS	2 Nov	03:45	Under 3.5	69.6%	64.5%	▲ +5.1%	1.55
28	VPS–HJKVeikkausliiga	2 Nov	17:00	Under 3.5	69.6%	58.8%	▲ +10.7%	1.70
29	Ostrava B–JihlavaFNL	2 Nov	17:00	Under 3.5	69.5%	64.1%	▲ +5.4%	1.56
30	S. Rzeszow–PuszczaDivision 1	2 Nov	20:30	Under 3.5	69.4%	70.4%	-1.0%	1.42
31	Reims–SochauxLigue 2	2 Nov	20:45	Under 3.5	69.1%	71.9%	-2.9%	1.39
32	Atromitos–VolosSuper League	2 Nov	17:00	Under 3.5	69.0%	77.5%	-8.5%	1.29
33	Inter Turku–GnistanVeikkausliiga	2 Nov	17:00	Under 3.5	68.7%	66.7%	▲ +2.1%	1.50
34	Oster–HelsingborgSuperettan	2 Nov	19:00	Under 3.5	68.1%	66.2%	▲ +1.9%	1.51
35	Landskrona–OrebroSuperettan	2 Nov	19:05	Under 3.5	67.5%	66.7%	▲ +0.8%	1.50
36	Malmo FF W–Norrkoping WAllsvenskan Women	2 Nov	18:00	Under 3.5	67.3%	62.1%	▲ +5.2%	1.61
37	Krylya Sovetov–ZenitPremier League	2 Nov	16:00	Under 3.5	66.6%	68.5%	-1.9%	1.46
38	Rakow–Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa	2 Nov	20:30	Under 3.5	65.4%	64.5%	▲ +0.9%	1.55
39	Radomiak Radom–Slask WroclawEkstraklasa	2 Nov	18:00	Under 3.5	64.4%	64.5%	-0.1%	1.55
40	Sassuolo–FiorentinaSerie A	2 Nov	18:30	Under 3.5	64.3%	63.7%	▲ +0.6%	1.57
41	Al Naser–Al ShababPremier League	2 Nov	16:45	Under 3.5	64.1%	71.9%	-7.9%	1.39
42	Jong Ajax–VitesseEerste Divisie	2 Nov	20:00	Under 3.5	63.4%	53.5%	▲ +9.9%	1.87
43	Atalanta–ParmaSerie A	2 Nov	20:45	Under 3.5	63.3%	65.4%	-2.0%	1.53
44	Los Angeles FC–Minnesota UnitedMLS	2 Nov	02:30	Under 3.5	62.4%	61.7%	▲ +0.7%	1.62
45	FC Voluntari–Farul ConstantaLiga 1	2 Nov	16:30	Under 3.5	62.3%	71.9%	-9.7%	1.39
46	U. Cluj–FCSBLiga 1	2 Nov	19:30	Under 3.5	60.8%	68.0%	-7.3%	1.47
47	Jong Utrecht–DordrechtEerste Divisie	2 Nov	20:00	Under 3.5	60.3%	60.2%	▲ +0.0%	1.66
48	New England Revolution–Inter MiamiMLS	2 Nov	01:00	Under 3.5	57.0%	55.2%	▲ +1.7%	1.81
49	Sonderjyske–FC CopenhagenSuperliga	2 Nov	19:00	Under 3.5	55.9%	61.3%	-5.4%	1.63
50	Benfica–AlvercaLiga Portugal	2 Nov	21:15	Under 3.5	52.9%	53.8%	-0.9%	1.86
51	Hacken W–Kristianstad WAllsvenskan Women	2 Nov	18:00	Under 3.5	46.0%	58.5%	-12.5%	1.71
52	Heracles–OssEerste Divisie	2 Nov	20:00	Under 3.5	44.2%	49.0%	-4.8%	2.04

Model % is the pre-match estimated chance, not a live probability or a past hit rate.

Implied % comes from the odds. Divergence is the difference in percentage points.

These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.