Landskrona vs Orebro
Superettan, Sweden · 2026-11-02 · 19:00 CET
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DLDDWThe score model makes a Landskrona win the most likely outcome at 53%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 54%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 68.6% vs 62.1% implied (+6.5 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Landskrona 1.76 – 1.06 Orebro.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Landskrona win | 53.2% | 49.4% | +3.8% |
| Draw | 24.7% | 24.6% | +0.0% |
| Orebro win | 22.2% | 26.0% | -3.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.7% | 58.5% | -4.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.4% | 37.9% | -6.5% |
| Both teams to score | 54.8% | 59.6% | -4.8% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 70.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.8% | 40.2% | -3.4% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Landskrona 44.8 / Orebro 44.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Landskrona vs Orebro in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.