Over 2.5 Goals — model probabilities
Three or more total goals at full-time. Matches ranked by model probability.
Kickoff times: Europe/Belgrade
Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 10 matches
Cardiff – West Ham4 Nov 20:45Over 2.5Model 71.1%Implied 73.5%-2.5%
Flamengo RJ – Gremio4 Nov 23:30Over 2.5Model 66.0%Implied 74.1%-8.0%- Oxford Utd – Reading4 Nov 20:45Over 2.5Model 62.1%Implied 53.5%▲ +8.7%
- Wrexham – Middlesbrough4 Nov 20:45Over 2.5Model 58.8%Implied 62.5%-3.7%
- Athletico-PR – Vasco4 Nov 23:30Over 2.5Model 57.4%Implied 57.5%-0.1%
Anderlecht U23 – K. Lierse S.K.4 Nov 20:00Over 2.5Model 55.6%Implied 67.1%-11.5%- Bristol City – Wolves4 Nov 21:00Over 2.5Model 49.9%Implied 53.2%-3.3%
Artis Brno – Bohemians4 Nov 18:00Over 2.5Model 48.4%Implied 54.6%-6.3%- Kortrijk – KV Mechelen4 Nov 20:30Over 2.5Model 45.7%Implied 55.9%-10.1%
- Francs Borains – Dender4 Nov 20:00Over 2.5Model 41.2%Implied 60.2%-19.0%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cardiff– West Ham | 4 Nov | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% | 73.5% | -2.5% | 1.36 |
| 2 |  Flamengo RJ– Gremio | 4 Nov | 23:30 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 74.1% | -8.0% | 1.35 |
| 3 |  Oxford Utd– Reading | 4 Nov | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 62.1% | 53.5% | ▲ +8.7% | 1.87 |
| 4 |  Wrexham– Middlesbrough | 4 Nov | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 62.5% | -3.7% | 1.60 |
| 5 |  Athletico-PR– Vasco | 4 Nov | 23:30 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 57.5% | -0.1% | 1.74 |
| 6 |  Anderlecht U23– K. Lierse S.K. | 4 Nov | 20:00 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 67.1% | -11.5% | 1.49 |
| 7 |  Bristol City– Wolves | 4 Nov | 21:00 | Over 2.5 | 49.9% | 53.2% | -3.3% | 1.88 |
| 8 |  Artis Brno– Bohemians | 4 Nov | 18:00 | Over 2.5 | 48.4% | 54.6% | -6.3% | 1.83 |
| 9 |  Kortrijk– KV Mechelen | 4 Nov | 20:30 | Over 2.5 | 45.7% | 55.9% | -10.1% | 1.79 |
| 10 |  Francs Borains– Dender | 4 Nov | 20:00 | Over 2.5 | 41.2% | 60.2% | -19.0% | 1.66 |
Model % is the pre-match estimated chance, not a live probability or a past hit rate.
Implied % comes from the odds. Divergence is the difference in percentage points.
Over 2.5 Goals: by day
Over 2.5 Goals: by league
These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.