Serie A: Over 2.5 Goals predictions and stats
Serie A 2026/27 so far: 47 of 80 matches (59%) had three or more goals (results to 25 Oct).
Three or more total goals at full-time. Matches ranked by model probability.
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
Kickoff times: Europe/Belgrade
Tue, 27 Oct 2026 · 3 matches
Sassuolo – Lazio27 Oct 18:30Over 2.5Model 49.0%Implied 59.5%-10.6%- AS Roma – Cagliari27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 48.8%Implied 60.6%-11.8%
- Torino – Como27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 47.6%Implied 60.2%-12.7%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sassuolo– Lazio | 27 Oct | 18:30 | Over 2.5 | 49.0% | 59.5% | -10.6% | 1.68 |
| 2 |  AS Roma– Cagliari | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% | 60.6% | -11.8% | 1.65 |
| 3 |  Torino– Como | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 47.6% | 60.2% | -12.7% | 1.66 |
Model % is the pre-match estimated chance, not a live probability or a past hit rate.
Implied % comes from the odds. Divergence is the difference in percentage points.
Over 2.5 by team, 2026/27
How often each team's matches had three or more goals this season, highest first. Home and away: matches with three or more goals / matches played.
| Team | Played | Over 2.5 | % | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 8 | 7 | 88% | 3/4 | 4/4 |
| Inter | 8 | 7 | 88% | 5/5 | 2/3 |
| Monza | 8 | 7 | 88% | 3/3 | 4/5 |
| Atalanta | 8 | 6 | 75% | 4/5 | 2/3 |
| Sassuolo | 8 | 6 | 75% | 2/3 | 4/5 |
| Torino | 8 | 6 | 75% | 3/4 | 3/4 |
| AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 63% | 3/4 | 2/4 |
| Frosinone | 8 | 5 | 63% | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Lazio | 8 | 5 | 63% | 3/4 | 2/4 |
| Lecce | 8 | 5 | 63% | 3/4 | 2/4 |
| Parma | 8 | 5 | 63% | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Udinese | 8 | 5 | 63% | 2/5 | 3/3 |
| AC Milan | 8 | 4 | 50% | 2/3 | 2/5 |
| Como | 8 | 4 | 50% | 1/3 | 3/5 |
| Napoli | 8 | 4 | 50% | 3/4 | 1/4 |
| Bologna | 8 | 3 | 38% | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Genoa | 8 | 3 | 38% | 2/5 | 1/3 |
| Venezia | 8 | 3 | 38% | 1/4 | 2/4 |
| Cagliari | 8 | 2 | 25% | 0/4 | 2/4 |
| Juventus | 8 | 2 | 25% | 1/4 | 1/4 |
Latest results
Serie A matches in the 7 days to Sun, 25 Oct 2026, the newest result.
- 25 OctInter 2:1 FiorentinaOver 2.5 yes
- 25 OctAtalanta 4:4 FrosinoneOver 2.5 yes
- 25 OctGenoa 1:0 VeneziaOver 2.5 no
- 25 OctLecce 0:2 JuventusOver 2.5 no
- 25 OctUdinese 0:2 AC MilanOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctComo 2:0 SassuoloOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctCagliari 0:2 BolognaOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctNapoli 3:3 AS RomaOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctLazio 2:1 ParmaOver 2.5 yes
- 23 OctTorino 3:2 MonzaOver 2.5 yes
- 19 OctMonza 4:0 CagliariOver 2.5 yes
- 19 OctParma 0:3 TorinoOver 2.5 yes
Serie A table, fixtures and season projection →
Over 2.5 Goals: by day
Over 2.5 Goals: by league
These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.