League One: Over 2.5 Goals predictions and stats
League One 2026/27 so far: 74 of 138 matches (54%) had three or more goals (results to 24 Oct).
Three or more total goals at full-time. Matches ranked by model probability.
Upcoming League One fixtures
Kickoff times: Europe/Belgrade
Tue, 27 Oct 2026 · 3 matches
Sheffield Wed – Cambridge Utd27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 56.1%Implied 60.2%-4.2%- Luton – Doncaster27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 54.8%Implied 66.2%-11.5%
- Oxford Utd – Stockport County27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 53.7%Implied 59.9%-6.2%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sheffield Wed– Cambridge Utd | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 60.2% | -4.2% | 1.66 |
| 2 |  Luton– Doncaster | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 66.2% | -11.5% | 1.51 |
| 3 |  Oxford Utd– Stockport County | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 59.9% | -6.2% | 1.67 |
Model % is the pre-match estimated chance, not a live probability or a past hit rate.
Implied % comes from the odds. Divergence is the difference in percentage points.
Over 2.5 by team, 2026/27
How often each team's matches had three or more goals this season, highest first. Home and away: matches with three or more goals / matches played.
| Team | Played | Over 2.5 | % | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 11 | 8 | 73% | 3/5 | 5/6 |
| Luton | 11 | 8 | 73% | 3/6 | 5/5 |
| Mansfield | 11 | 8 | 73% | 3/5 | 5/6 |
| Oxford Utd | 10 | 7 | 70% | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| Burton | 13 | 9 | 69% | 5/7 | 4/6 |
| Cambridge Utd | 12 | 8 | 67% | 5/7 | 3/5 |
| Huddersfield | 12 | 8 | 67% | 5/6 | 3/6 |
| Blackpool | 11 | 7 | 64% | 4/6 | 3/5 |
| Leicester | 11 | 7 | 64% | 4/5 | 3/6 |
| Reading | 12 | 7 | 58% | 4/7 | 3/5 |
| Wycombe | 12 | 7 | 58% | 4/6 | 3/6 |
| Bromley | 11 | 6 | 55% | 3/6 | 3/5 |
| Sheffield Wed | 11 | 6 | 55% | 2/5 | 4/6 |
| Plymouth | 13 | 7 | 54% | 3/6 | 4/7 |
| Peterborough | 12 | 6 | 50% | 3/5 | 3/7 |
| Stockport County | 12 | 6 | 50% | 4/6 | 2/6 |
| MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 45% | 2/5 | 3/6 |
| Stevenage | 11 | 5 | 45% | 4/6 | 1/5 |
| Wigan | 11 | 5 | 45% | 2/5 | 3/6 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 5 | 42% | 1/6 | 4/6 |
| Leyton Orient | 12 | 5 | 42% | 3/6 | 2/6 |
| Doncaster | 11 | 4 | 36% | 1/6 | 3/5 |
| Notts County | 11 | 3 | 27% | 2/6 | 1/5 |
| Bradford City | 12 | 1 | 8% | 1/5 | 0/7 |
Latest results
League One matches in the 7 days to Sat, 24 Oct 2026, the newest result.
- 24 OctLuton 2:1 LeicesterOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctHuddersfield 2:1 WiganOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctBromley 1:1 PeterboroughOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctBlackpool 1:4 MansfieldOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctReading 2:1 BarnsleyOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctBurton 2:1 Leyton OrientOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctStevenage 0:1 MK DonsOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctNotts County 1:1 Stockport CountyOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctAFC Wimbledon 1:1 WycombeOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctCambridge Utd 2:3 PlymouthOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctDoncaster 2:0 Sheffield WedOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctOxford Utd 0:0 Bradford CityOver 2.5 no
- 21 OctReading 1:0 Leyton OrientOver 2.5 no
- 20 OctBlackpool 2:0 MK DonsOver 2.5 no
- 20 OctBromley 0:4 LeicesterOver 2.5 yes
- 20 OctBurton 0:0 Bradford CityOver 2.5 no
- 20 OctStevenage 3:0 PlymouthOver 2.5 yes
- 20 OctOxford Utd 2:1 WiganOver 2.5 yes
- 20 OctNotts County 2:0 Sheffield WedOver 2.5 no
- 20 OctLuton 2:1 BarnsleyOver 2.5 yes
- 20 OctHuddersfield 4:1 PeterboroughOver 2.5 yes
- 20 OctDoncaster 0:2 Stockport CountyOver 2.5 no
- 20 OctCambridge Utd 2:2 WycombeOver 2.5 yes
- 20 OctAFC Wimbledon 0:3 MansfieldOver 2.5 yes
League One table, fixtures and season projection →
Over 2.5 Goals: by day
Over 2.5 Goals: by league
These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.