National League: Over 2.5 Goals predictions and stats
National League 2026/27 so far: 103 of 166 matches (62%) had three or more goals (results to 24 Oct).
Three or more total goals at full-time. Matches ranked by model probability.
Upcoming National League fixtures
Kickoff times: Europe/Belgrade
Tue, 27 Oct 2026 · 9 matches
Tamworth – Scunthorpe27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 64.5%Implied 69.9%-5.5%- Worthing – Southend27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 63.6%Implied 73.0%-9.4%
- Wealdstone – Solihull Moors27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 61.5%Implied 67.1%-5.6%
- Boston Utd – Gateshead27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 58.2%Implied 63.3%-5.1%
- Woking – Boreham Wood27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 56.3%Implied 62.9%-6.6%
- AFC Fylde – Hartlepool27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 53.3%Implied 67.6%-14.3%
- Hornchurch – Yeovil27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 45.4%Implied 56.5%-11.1%
- FC Halifax – Barrow27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 44.9%Implied 58.8%-13.9%
- Altrincham – Kidderminster27 Oct 20:45Over 2.5Model 36.6%Implied 56.8%-20.3%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tamworth– Scunthorpe | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 69.9% | -5.5% | 1.43 |
| 2 |  Worthing– Southend | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% | 73.0% | -9.4% | 1.37 |
| 3 |  Wealdstone– Solihull Moors | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% | 67.1% | -5.6% | 1.49 |
| 4 |  Boston Utd– Gateshead | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 63.3% | -5.1% | 1.58 |
| 5 |  Woking– Boreham Wood | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 62.9% | -6.6% | 1.59 |
| 6 |  AFC Fylde– Hartlepool | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 67.6% | -14.3% | 1.48 |
| 7 |  Hornchurch– Yeovil | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% | 56.5% | -11.1% | 1.77 |
| 8 |  FC Halifax– Barrow | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% | 58.8% | -13.9% | 1.70 |
| 9 |  Altrincham– Kidderminster | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 2.5 | 36.6% | 56.8% | -20.3% | 1.76 |
Model % is the pre-match estimated chance, not a live probability or a past hit rate.
Implied % comes from the odds. Divergence is the difference in percentage points.
Over 2.5 by team, 2026/27
How often each team's matches had three or more goals this season, highest first. Home and away: matches with three or more goals / matches played.
| Team | Played | Over 2.5 | % | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boreham Wood | 14 | 12 | 86% | 7/7 | 5/7 |
| Tamworth | 13 | 11 | 85% | 5/6 | 6/7 |
| Altrincham | 14 | 11 | 79% | 6/6 | 5/8 |
| Harrogate | 14 | 11 | 79% | 8/8 | 3/6 |
| Southend | 14 | 11 | 79% | 6/7 | 5/7 |
| Worthing | 14 | 11 | 79% | 5/7 | 6/7 |
| AFC Fylde | 14 | 10 | 71% | 3/6 | 7/8 |
| Solihull Moors | 14 | 10 | 71% | 5/8 | 5/6 |
| Barrow | 14 | 9 | 64% | 5/7 | 4/7 |
| Hornchurch | 14 | 9 | 64% | 2/6 | 7/8 |
| Yeovil | 14 | 9 | 64% | 6/8 | 3/6 |
| Forest Green | 13 | 8 | 62% | 6/7 | 2/6 |
| Gateshead | 13 | 8 | 62% | 2/6 | 6/7 |
| Boston Utd | 14 | 8 | 57% | 3/7 | 5/7 |
| Carlisle | 14 | 8 | 57% | 5/7 | 3/7 |
| FC Halifax | 14 | 8 | 57% | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| Wealdstone | 14 | 8 | 57% | 4/6 | 4/8 |
| Scunthorpe | 13 | 7 | 54% | 4/6 | 3/7 |
| Eastleigh | 14 | 7 | 50% | 4/8 | 3/6 |
| Woking | 14 | 7 | 50% | 4/7 | 3/7 |
| Aldershot | 14 | 6 | 43% | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| Hartlepool | 14 | 6 | 43% | 2/7 | 4/7 |
| Sutton | 14 | 6 | 43% | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| Kidderminster | 14 | 5 | 36% | 1/8 | 4/6 |
Latest results
National League matches in the 7 days to Sat, 24 Oct 2026, the newest result.
- 24 OctHarrogate 3:1 SuttonOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctEastleigh 4:2 Boston UtdOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctYeovil 1:2 AltrinchamOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctBoreham Wood 4:0 AFC FyldeOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctSolihull Moors 1:2 CarlisleOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctSouthend 2:2 FC HalifaxOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctScunthorpe 2:3 WokingOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctHartlepool 2:1 HornchurchOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctAldershot 0:1 WealdstoneOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctKidderminster 1:2 WorthingOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctBarrow 1:0 Forest GreenOver 2.5 no
National League table, fixtures and season projection →
Over 2.5 Goals: by day
Over 2.5 Goals: by league
These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.