National League

We simulate the remaining National League schedule 10,000 times a day. Boreham Wood win the 2026-2027 title in 42% of them, projecting ~87 points; Southend are next at 17%. At the other end, Gateshead finish in the bottom three in 47% of simulations.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Boreham Wood	16	87	76–98	42%	87%	—
2	Southend	13	82	71–92	17%	70%	<1%
3	Harrogate	13	81	70–92	16%	66%	<1%
4	Carlisle	8	80	70–90	13%	63%	<1%
5	Hornchurch	12	77	66–88	7%	46%	<1%
· · ·
22	Wealdstone	5	52	42–63	—	<1%	35%
23	Solihull Moors	1	50	40–61	—	<1%	46%
24	Gateshead	4	50	40–60	—	<1%	47%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 480 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/england/national-league/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="National League live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/england/national-league">National League stats by Football Charts</a></p>

What blindly backing each market in every National League match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.