Fastest starters
FC Halifax20%
14 of their 69 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Braintree37%
14 of their 38 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Rochdale are 2025-2026 champions — 112 pts
Their xPTS said 91.7: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
Least bad strategy
-25.7uEven the best blind strategy (over 2.5 goals) lost this season. The bookmaker margin is undefeated.
Most underrated by results
-16.6 ptsTruro produced performances worth 17 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
37%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 31' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every National League match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Over 2.5 goals▼ -25.7u
558 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every National League match in 2025-2026: -25.7 units over 558 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▼ -55.4u
558 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every National League match in 2025-2026: -55.4 units over 558 flat-stake bets.Away wins▼ -325.6u
558 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every National League match in 2025-2026: -325.6 units over 558 flat-stake bets.Home wins▼ -570.2u
558 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every National League match in 2025-2026: -570.2 units over 558 flat-stake bets.Draws▼ -782.1u
558 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every National League match in 2025-2026: -782.1 units over 558 flat-stake bets.Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rochdale | 112 | 91.7 | +20.3 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | York City | 108 | 95.5 | +12.5 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 | Carlisle | 95 | 80.9 | +14.1 | outperformed expectations |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 90 | 85.2 | +4.8 | |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 82 | 72.9 | +9.1 | outperformed expectations |
| · · · | |||||
| 22 | Morecambe | 38 | 48.2 | -10.2 | underperformed expectations |
| 23 | Braintree | 36 | 45.5 | -9.5 | underperformed expectations |
| 24 | Truro | 34 | 50.6 | -16.6 | underperformed expectations |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisRochdale112 ptsYork City108 ptsCarlisle95 ptsBoreham Wood90 ptsScunthorpe82 ptsSouthend81 ptsForest Green81 ptsFC Halifax70 ptsHartlepool68 ptsWoking63 ptsTamworth62 ptsBoston Utd59 ptsAltrincham57 ptsSolihull Moors56 ptsWealdstone56 ptsYeovil51 ptsEastleigh50 ptsGateshead50 ptsSutton47 ptsAldershot46 ptsBrackley Town42 ptsMorecambe38 ptsBraintree36 ptsTruro34 pts
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+