Fastest starters
Atl. Madrid19%
12 of their 62 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Oviedo38%
10 of their 26 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
Blind ≥2% leans · 2024-2025Backtest
Every lean, backed blind−59.1u
375 leans · 40.3% hit — walk-forward, not the live record
🏆
Barcelona are 2025-2026 champions — 94 pts
Their xPTS said 82.9: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+204.4uBlindly backing home wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 4 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-13.7 ptsAth Bilbao produced performances worth 14 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
31%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 33.9' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every LaLiga match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 94 | 82.9 | +11.1 | champions — earned it |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 86 | 80.3 | +5.7 | |
| 3 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
Girona
