Premier League Clean-Sheet % & Expected Goals Fixture Ticker
Standard 1–5 Fixture Difficulty Ratings treat attack and defence as the same number. This ticker separates every Premier League club's upcoming run into Dixon–Coles Attacking Expected Goals (xG) for midfielders/forwards and Clean-Sheet Probability P(concede = 0) for goalkeepers/defenders.
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Each cell displays opponent, venue (H)/(A), and objective Dixon–Coles metric — never subjective 1–5 colour guesses alone. Model snapshot: 2026-11-11.
| Match +1 | Match +2 | Match +3 | Match +4 | Match +5 | Match +6 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 11.06 | 2.31 | 38.4% | 11.71 | NEW (A) 1.87 xP | MCI (H) 1.70 xP | BRE (A) 1.81 xP | TOT (A) 2.00 xP | BOU (H) 2.15 xP | MAN (H) 2.18 xP |
| Manchester City | 11.40 | 1.99 | 33.1% | 11.10 | FUL (H) 2.16 xP | ARS (A) 1.03 xP | LEE (H) 2.12 xP | BRE (A) 1.68 xP | CHE (H) 2.03 xP | HUL (H) 2.08 xP |
| Liverpool | 11.53 | 1.81 | 30.2% | 10.90 | MAN (H) 1.88 xP | EVE (A) 1.58 xP | SUN (H) 2.08 xP | CHE (A) 1.42 xP | LEE (H) 1.92 xP | TOT (H) 2.02 xP |
| Brighton | 11.02 | 1.76 | 29.3% | 10.41 | HUL (A) 1.50 xP | NEW (H) 1.80 xP | BOU (A) 1.41 xP | NOT (A) 1.52 xP | EVE (H) 1.84 xP | IPS (H) 2.34 xP |
| Aston Villa | 10.91 | 1.63 | 27.2% | 10.10 | SUN (H) 1.85 xP | IPS (A) 1.82 xP | EVE (H) 1.67 xP | CRY (H) 1.90 xP | COV (A) 1.71 xP | CHE (A) 1.15 xP |
| Chelsea | 10.03 | 1.34 | 22.3% | 8.72 | LEE (H) 1.72 xP | NOT (A) 1.37 xP | CRY (H) 1.94 xP | LIV (H) 1.33 xP | MCI (A) 0.76 xP | AVL (H) 1.60 xP |
| Bournemouth | 9.03 | 1.54 | 25.6% | 8.59 | NOT (H) 1.65 xP | FUL (A) 1.34 xP | BHA (H) 1.33 xP | HUL (H) 1.62 xP | ARS (A) 0.63 xP | COV (H) 2.02 xP |
| Newcastle | 9.62 | 1.24 | 20.6% | 8.18 | ARS (H) 0.88 xP | BHA (A) 0.97 xP | MAN (H) 1.58 xP | SUN (H) 1.82 xP | IPS (A) 1.79 xP | BRE (A) 1.14 xP |
| Brentford | 8.71 | 1.34 | 22.3% | 7.92 | EVE (H) 1.68 xP | MAN (A) 1.25 xP | ARS (H) 0.93 xP | MCI (H) 1.07 xP | FUL (A) 1.38 xP | NEW (H) 1.61 xP |
| Leeds | 8.42 | 1.45 | 24.2% | 7.89 | CHE (A) 1.02 xP | COV (H) 1.86 xP | MCI (A) 0.66 xP | IPS (H) 1.98 xP | LIV (A) 0.83 xP | FUL (H) 1.54 xP |
| Nottingham | 7.58 | 1.56 | 26.0% | 7.71 | BOU (A) 1.08 xP | CHE (H) 1.36 xP | HUL (A) 1.19 xP | BHA (H) 1.21 xP | SUN (A) 1.36 xP | EVE (H) 1.51 xP |
| Manchester Utd | 9.34 | 1.15 | 19.1% | 7.69 | LIV (A) 0.89 xP | BRE (H) 1.50 xP | NEW (A) 1.18 xP | COV (H) 2.02 xP | CRY (A) 1.50 xP | ARS (A) 0.60 xP |
| Tottenham | 8.26 | 1.32 | 22.0% | 7.46 | IPS (H) 1.97 xP | SUN (A) 1.32 xP | FUL (H) 1.51 xP | ARS (H) 0.76 xP | HUL (A) 1.14 xP | LIV (A) 0.76 xP |
| Hull | 7.01 | 1.61 | 26.9% | 7.42 | BHA (H) 1.21 xP | CRY (A) 1.37 xP | NOT (H) 1.50 xP | BOU (A) 1.09 xP | TOT (H) 1.57 xP | MCI (A) 0.68 xP |
| Fulham | 7.16 | 1.36 | 22.6% | 6.89 | MCI (A) 0.63 xP | BOU (H) 1.38 xP | TOT (A) 1.21 xP | EVE (A) 1.17 xP | BRE (H) 1.34 xP | LEE (A) 1.16 xP |
| Everton | 6.86 | 1.43 | 23.8% | 6.86 | BRE (A) 1.05 xP | LIV (H) 1.14 xP | AVL (A) 1.05 xP | FUL (H) 1.53 xP | BHA (A) 0.90 xP | NOT (A) 1.19 xP |
| Crystal Palace | 7.57 | 1.22 | 20.4% | 6.78 | COV (A) 1.34 xP | HUL (H) 1.32 xP | CHE (A) 0.83 xP | AVL (A) 0.86 xP | MAN (H) 1.24 xP | SUN (A) 1.19 xP |
| Sunderland | 6.97 | 1.37 | 22.8% | 6.74 | AVL (A) 0.89 xP | TOT (H) 1.39 xP | LIV (A) 0.69 xP | NEW (A) 0.92 xP | NOT (H) 1.33 xP | CRY (H) 1.52 xP |
| Coventry | 8.25 | 0.98 | 16.4% | 6.51 | CRY (H) 1.40 xP | LEE (A) 0.88 xP | IPS (H) 1.66 xP | MAN (A) 0.76 xP | AVL (H) 1.05 xP | BOU (A) 0.76 xP |
| Ipswich | 7.90 | 0.66 | 11.0% | 5.15 | TOT (A) 0.82 xP | AVL (H) 0.95 xP | COV (A) 1.10 xP | LEE (A) 0.79 xP | NEW (H) 0.99 xP | BHA (A) 0.50 xP |