LaLigahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 86 | 73.0 | +13.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | +8.8 | +4.2 | 1:0 vs Barcelona (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Levante (-2.2) |
2 | Sevilla | 38 | 77 | 66.3 | +10.7Outperforming ++ | 4 | +6.6 | +4.1 | 1:0 vs Atl. Madrid (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Ath Bilbao (-2.1) |
3 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 44 | 33.6 | +10.4Outperforming ++ | 19 | +1.1 | +9.3 | 2:1 vs Barcelona (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Osasuna (-1.2) |
4 | Betis | 38 | 61 | 53.6 | +7.4Outperforming ++ | 7 | +5.0 | +2.3 | 1:2 vs Villarreal (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Eibar (-1.9) |
5 | Real Madrid | 38 | 84 | 76.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +1.7 | +5.5 | 1:3 vs Barcelona (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Cadiz CF (-2.4) |
6 | Granada CF | 38 | 46 | 41.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 16 | +6.5 | -2.1 | 1:2 vs Barcelona (+2.7) | 0:1 vs Cadiz CF (-1.9) |
7 | Elche | 38 | 36 | 32.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 20 | +4.3 | -0.8 | 0:1 vs Eibar (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Alaves (-1.3) |
8 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 53 | 50.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 9 | +2.1 | +0.3 | 1:2 vs Barcelona (+2.6) | 2:0 vs Osasuna (-1.4) |
9 | Osasuna | 38 | 44 | 42.7 | +1.3On expectation | 15 | +1.8 | -0.5 | 1:2 vs Villarreal (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Levante (-1.6) |
10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 62 | 62.9 | -0.9On expectation | 5 | -1.3 | +0.3 | 0:3 vs Betis (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Valencia (-2.1) |
11 | Levante | 38 | 41 | 42.8 | -1.8On expectation | 14 | -0.7 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Real Madrid (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Huesca (-1.5) |
12 | Valencia | 38 | 43 | 45.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 11 | +5.7 | -7.7 | 4:1 vs Real Madrid (+2.4) | 2:1 vs Cadiz CF (-1.6) |
13 | Alaves | 38 | 38 | 40.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 18 | +1.1 | -3.2 | 1:2 vs Real Madrid (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Elche (-1.9) |
14 | Barcelona | 38 | 79 | 83.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 1 | -6.3 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Sevilla (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Granada CF (-2.6) |
15 | Villarreal | 38 | 58 | 62.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 6 | -4.3 | -0.6 | 1:3 vs Getafe (+1.4) | 2:4 vs Celta Vigo (-2.0) |
16 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 46 | 52.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 8 | +0.9 | -7.5 | 0:1 vs Sevilla (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Cadiz CF (-2.0) |
17 | Huesca | 38 | 34 | 43.6 | -9.6Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.9 | -6.8 | 1:3 vs Valladolid (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Cadiz CF (-1.8) |
18 | Valladolid | 38 | 31 | 41.0 | -10.0Underperforming −− | 17 | -8.0 | -1.9 | 0:1 vs Getafe (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Eibar (-1.7) |
19 | Getafe | 38 | 38 | 50.1 | -12.1Underperforming −− | 10 | -3.8 | -8.4 | 1:0 vs Barcelona (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Cadiz CF (-1.9) |
20 | Eibar | 38 | 30 | 43.5 | -13.5Underperforming −− | 13 | -11.3 | -2.2 | 0:1 vs Sevilla (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Elche (-1.9) |
