LaLigahub →LaLiga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Betis | 9 | 19 | 12.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 5 | +4.8 | +1.4 | 1:0 vs Real Madrid (+2.3) | 5:2 vs Levante (-1.5) |
2 | Atl. Madrid | 9 | 22 | 16.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | +2.6 | +3.5 | 2:1 vs Real Madrid (+1.9) | 3:0 vs Ath Bilbao (-1.4) |
3 | Barcelona | 9 | 27 | 22.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 1 | +1.4 | +3.2 | 2:5 vs Betis (+0.8) | 7:2 vs Racing Santander (0.2) |
4 | Sevilla | 8 | 14 | 9.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 13 | +1.2 | +3.2 | 1:3 vs Ath Bilbao (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Atl. Madrid (-1.0) |
5 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 13 | 11.0 | +2.0On expectation | 9 | +0.4 | +1.6 | 2:3 vs Valencia (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Betis (-1.1) |
6 | Alaves | 8 | 11 | 10.5 | +0.5On expectation | 11 | +1.8 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs Villarreal (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Valencia (-1.9) |
7 | Dep. A Coruna | 9 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.0On expectation | 10 | -1.0 | +1.1 | 2:3 vs Villarreal (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Sevilla (-1.4) |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 9 | 9.1 | -0.1On expectation | 16 | +2.0 | -2.1 | 2:1 vs Espanyol (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Sevilla (-1.2) |
9 | Elche | 9 | 7 | 7.5 | -0.5On expectation | 20 | -2.3 | +1.8 | 1:3 vs Espanyol (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Real Sociedad (-1.2) |
10 | Real Madrid | 8 | 18 | 18.7 | -0.7On expectation | 2 | +1.9 | -2.6 | 1:2 vs Espanyol (+0.8) | 1:0 vs Betis (-2.2) |
11 | Levante | 8 | 7 | 7.8 | -0.8On expectation | 19 | +1.2 | -2.0 | 5:2 vs Betis (+1.8) | 3:0 vs Espanyol (-1.1) |
12 | Racing Santander | 8 | 8 | 8.8 | -0.8On expectation | 17 | +2.4 | -3.2 | 2:1 vs Alaves (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Getafe (-1.1) |
13 | Getafe | 8 | 8 | 9.2 | -1.2On expectation | 15 | +1.8 | -3.0 | 1:0 vs Racing Santander (+1.4) | 3:0 vs Alaves (-1.1) |
14 | Osasuna | 8 | 8 | 9.5 | -1.5On expectation | 14 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs Celta Vigo (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Espanyol (-1.6) |
15 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 10 | 12.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 6 | -2.5 | +0.3 | 3:0 vs Atl. Madrid (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Sevilla (-1.9) |
16 | Espanyol | 9 | 8 | 11.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 8 | -2.4 | -0.7 | 0:2 vs Osasuna (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Elche (-1.8) |
17 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 8 | 11.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 7 | -2.9 | -0.9 | 5:0 vs Racing Santander (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Osasuna (-1.8) |
18 | Malaga | 8 | 4 | 7.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 18 | -2.4 | -1.6 | 1:1 vs Celta Vigo (+0.2) | 1:3 vs Villarreal (-1.1) |
19 | Valencia | 9 | 6 | 9.9 | -4.0Underperforming | 12 | -3.7 | -0.2 | 0:1 vs Alaves (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Betis (-1.4) |
20 | Villarreal | 9 | 9 | 14.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 4 | -4.1 | -1.4 | 1:3 vs Malaga (+1.4) | 2:3 vs Dep. A Coruna (-2.2) |