LaLiga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Betis | 7 | 16 | 10.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 6 | +4.6 | +1.4 | 1:0 vs Real Madrid (+2.3) | 5:2 vs Levante (-1.5) |
2 | Sevilla | 7 | 13 | 8.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 14 | +1.2 | +3.6 | 1:3 vs Ath Bilbao (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Atl. Madrid (-1.0) |
3 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 16 | 12.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 3 | +2.6 | +1.3 | 2:1 vs Real Madrid (+1.9) | 3:0 vs Ath Bilbao (-1.4) |
4 | Barcelona | 7 | 21 | 17.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 1 | +1.1 | +2.3 | 0:5 vs Elche (+0.7) | 7:2 vs Racing Santander (0.2) |
5 | Dep. A Coruna | 7 | 10 | 8.3 | +1.6On expectation | 13 | -0.3 | +2.0 | 2:3 vs Villarreal (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Sevilla (-1.4) |
6 | Alaves | 7 | 11 | 9.6 | +1.4On expectation | 7 | +2.7 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs Villarreal (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Valencia (-1.9) |
7 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 10 | 9.2 | +0.8On expectation | 8 | -0.8 | +1.6 | 2:3 vs Valencia (+1.6) | 0:3 vs Atl. Madrid (-1.2) |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 8 | 7.8 | +0.2On expectation | 15 | +2.3 | -2.1 | 2:1 vs Espanyol (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Sevilla (-1.2) |
9 | Racing Santander | 7 | 7 | 7.3 | -0.3On expectation | 17 | +2.9 | -3.2 | 2:1 vs Alaves (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Getafe (-1.1) |
10 | Levante | 6 | 5 | 5.5 | -0.5On expectation | 20 | +1.5 | -2.0 | 5:2 vs Betis (+1.8) | 3:0 vs Espanyol (-1.1) |
11 | Elche | 7 | 5 | 5.7 | -0.7On expectation | 19 | -2.1 | +1.4 | 1:3 vs Espanyol (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Real Sociedad (-1.2) |
12 | Osasuna | 7 | 8 | 8.8 | -0.8On expectation | 12 | -1.4 | +0.5 | 1:2 vs Celta Vigo (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Espanyol (-1.6) |
13 | Getafe | 7 | 8 | 9.0 | -1.0On expectation | 10 | +1.8 | -2.8 | 1:0 vs Racing Santander (+1.4) | 3:0 vs Alaves (-1.1) |
14 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 8 | 9.2 | -1.2On expectation | 9 | -2.5 | +1.3 | 3:0 vs Atl. Madrid (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Sevilla (-1.9) |
15 | Real Madrid | 7 | 15 | 16.4 | -1.4On expectation | 2 | +1.2 | -2.6 | 1:2 vs Espanyol (+0.8) | 1:0 vs Betis (-2.2) |
16 | Espanyol | 7 | 7 | 8.9 | -1.9On expectation | 11 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 0:2 vs Osasuna (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Elche (-1.9) |
17 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 7 | 10.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 5 | -2.9 | -0.4 | 5:0 vs Racing Santander (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Osasuna (-1.8) |
18 | Valencia | 7 | 4 | 7.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 16 | -3.5 | +0.0 | 0:1 vs Alaves (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Betis (-1.4) |
19 | Malaga | 7 | 3 | 6.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 18 | -2.1 | -1.6 | 1:1 vs Celta Vigo (+0.2) | 1:3 vs Villarreal (-1.1) |
20 | Villarreal | 7 | 8 | 11.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 4 | -3.0 | -0.8 | 1:3 vs Malaga (+1.4) | 2:3 vs Dep. A Coruna (-2.2) |
