LaLigahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Villarreal | 38 | 70 | 59.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 5 | -1.2 | +11.4 | 2:3 vs Barcelona (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Betis (-1.7) |
2 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 70 | 61.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +3.6 | +4.9 | 2:1 vs Real Madrid (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Atl. Madrid (-1.3) |
3 | Osasuna | 38 | 52 | 45.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 15 | +8.7 | -2.0 | 0:2 vs Real Sociedad (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Getafe (-1.6) |
4 | Barcelona | 38 | 88 | 81.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 1 | -1.6 | +8.1 | 0:4 vs Real Madrid (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Leganes (-2.7) |
5 | Betis | 38 | 60 | 54.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 7 | +1.7 | +3.5 | 1:2 vs Villarreal (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Valladolid (-1.9) |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 52 | 46.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 14 | -2.1 | +7.3 | 1:2 vs Real Sociedad (+2.2) | 0:4 vs Espanyol (-2.0) |
7 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 76 | 71.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 3 | +6.3 | -1.5 | 1:2 vs Barcelona (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Leganes (-2.1) |
8 | Espanyol | 38 | 42 | 37.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 17 | +6.8 | -2.4 | 1:0 vs Real Madrid (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Sevilla (-1.3) |
9 | Leganes | 38 | 40 | 36.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 19 | +3.1 | +0.5 | 0:1 vs Barcelona (+2.8) | 0:1 vs Mallorca (-1.4) |
10 | Real Madrid | 38 | 84 | 81.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 2 | +4.4 | -1.8 | 1:2 vs Villarreal (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Valencia (-2.4) |
11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 55 | 52.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 9 | +6.1 | -3.9 | 0:1 vs Real Sociedad (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Espanyol (-2.0) |
12 | Mallorca | 38 | 48 | 47.0 | +1.0On expectation | 12 | -1.5 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Betis (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Betis (-1.6) |
13 | Valencia | 38 | 46 | 47.4 | -1.4On expectation | 11 | +2.3 | -3.7 | 1:2 vs Real Madrid (+2.5) | 2:3 vs Las Palmas (-1.8) |
14 | Getafe | 38 | 42 | 45.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 16 | -7.4 | +4.3 | 0:3 vs Real Sociedad (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Las Palmas (-1.9) |
15 | Las Palmas | 38 | 32 | 36.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 18 | -5.7 | +1.2 | 1:2 vs Barcelona (+2.7) | 1:2 vs Getafe (-1.5) |
16 | Alaves | 38 | 42 | 46.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 13 | -3.6 | -1.3 | 1:2 vs Real Sociedad (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Valladolid (-2.0) |
17 | Sevilla | 38 | 41 | 49.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 10 | -5.0 | -3.1 | 1:2 vs Girona (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Villarreal (-1.6) |
18 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 46 | 57.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 6 | -6.2 | -4.7 | 1:0 vs Barcelona (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Alaves (-2.0) |
19 | Girona | 38 | 41 | 53.1 | -12.1Underperforming −− | 8 | -6.9 | -5.1 | 0:1 vs Getafe (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Getafe (-1.8) |
20 | Valladolid | 38 | 16 | 28.8 | -12.8Underperforming −− | 20 | -5.6 | -7.2 | 2:3 vs Alaves (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Mallorca (-1.2) |
