LaLigahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 86 | 75.7 | +10.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.7 | +8.6 | 1:2 vs Barcelona (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Getafe (-2.1) |
2 | Betis | 38 | 65 | 56.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 8 | -0.6 | +9.5 | 0:1 vs Barcelona (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Elche (-2.2) |
3 | Sevilla | 38 | 70 | 63.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 4 | +6.1 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs Ath Bilbao (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Granada CF (-2.0) |
4 | Elche | 38 | 42 | 35.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 20 | +5.0 | +1.3 | 0:1 vs Betis (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Valencia (-1.4) |
5 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 39 | 36.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 19 | -4.3 | +6.6 | 0:1 vs Barcelona (+2.7) | 0:2 vs Alaves (-1.5) |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 62 | 60.7 | +1.3On expectation | 6 | +0.6 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Villarreal (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Levante (-1.6) |
7 | Valencia | 38 | 48 | 46.9 | +1.1On expectation | 10 | -1.8 | +2.9 | 1:2 vs Celta Vigo (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Espanyol (-1.8) |
8 | Osasuna | 38 | 47 | 46.0 | +0.9On expectation | 11 | -5.2 | +6.2 | 1:2 vs Villarreal (+2.3) | 1:4 vs Valencia (-1.6) |
9 | Barcelona | 38 | 73 | 73.3 | -0.3On expectation | 2 | -3.0 | +2.6 | 0:4 vs Real Madrid (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Cadiz CF (-2.6) |
10 | Granada CF | 38 | 38 | 39.2 | -1.2On expectation | 17 | -2.0 | +0.8 | 2:1 vs Atl. Madrid (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Elche (-1.5) |
11 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 71 | 72.5 | -1.5On expectation | 3 | +0.4 | -1.9 | 1:2 vs Real Sociedad (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Levante (-2.4) |
12 | Espanyol | 38 | 42 | 44.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 14 | +6.4 | -8.6 | 2:1 vs Real Madrid (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Elche (-1.9) |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 42 | 45.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 12 | +1.5 | -5.0 | 0:1 vs Barcelona (+2.5) | 2:4 vs Levante (-1.8) |
14 | Villarreal | 38 | 59 | 63.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 5 | -0.3 | -3.7 | 0:2 vs Barcelona (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Osasuna (-2.1) |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 39 | 43.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 15 | +0.6 | -4.9 | 1:2 vs Atl. Madrid (+2.5) | 2:6 vs Granada CF (-1.7) |
16 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 55 | 59.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 7 | -0.6 | -3.8 | 0:1 vs Celta Vigo (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Cadiz CF (-2.3) |
17 | Getafe | 38 | 39 | 44.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 13 | +1.4 | -7.2 | 1:0 vs Real Madrid (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Elche (-1.9) |
18 | Levante | 38 | 35 | 41.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 16 | -2.1 | -3.9 | 0:1 vs Atl. Madrid (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Cadiz CF (-1.9) |
19 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 46 | 52.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 9 | -6.2 | -0.7 | 0:2 vs Ath Bilbao (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Cadiz CF (-2.2) |
20 | Alaves | 38 | 31 | 38.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 18 | +2.2 | -9.6 | 1:0 vs Atl. Madrid (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Granada CF (-1.7) |
