LaLigahub →LaLiga 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Villarreal | 38 | 72 | 59.5 | +12.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +11.8 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Ath Bilbao (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Sevilla (-1.6) |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 94 | 82.9 | +11.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +11.8 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Atl. Madrid (+1.3) | 2:1 vs Girona (-2.3) |
3 | Getafe | 38 | 51 | 44.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 16 | +1.1 | +5.8 | 0:1 vs Real Madrid (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Rayo Vallecano (-1.7) |
4 | Real Madrid | 38 | 86 | 80.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.9 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Celta Vigo (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Celta Vigo (-2.4) |
5 | Betis | 38 | 60 | 55.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 6 | +4.3 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs Atl. Madrid (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Alaves (-1.3) |
6 | Levante | 38 | 42 | 39.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 19 | +3.3 | -0.5 | 0:3 vs Sevilla (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Rayo Vallecano (-1.4) |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 50 | 48.3 | +1.7On expectation | 10 | +2.3 | -0.6 | 3:0 vs Atl. Madrid (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Sevilla (-1.7) |
8 | Valencia | 38 | 49 | 47.4 | +1.6On expectation | 11 | +2.0 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs Ath Bilbao (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Oviedo (-1.9) |
9 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 54 | 52.5 | +1.5On expectation | 7 | -7.5 | +9.0 | 0:2 vs Real Madrid (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Getafe (-2.0) |
10 | Elche | 38 | 43 | 41.6 | +1.4On expectation | 17 | +9.8 | -8.4 | 1:2 vs Oviedo (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Mallorca (-1.2) |
11 | Mallorca | 38 | 42 | 41.4 | +0.6On expectation | 18 | +7.8 | -7.2 | 2:1 vs Real Madrid (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Girona (-1.6) |
12 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 69 | 68.8 | +0.2On expectation | 3 | +7.1 | -6.9 | 0:2 vs Valencia (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Betis (-2.1) |
13 | Espanyol | 38 | 46 | 46.6 | -0.6On expectation | 13 | -1.2 | +0.6 | 2:1 vs Atl. Madrid (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Girona (-1.8) |
14 | Alaves | 38 | 43 | 44.5 | -1.5On expectation | 15 | +0.4 | -2.0 | 0:1 vs Ath Bilbao (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Rayo Vallecano (-1.6) |
15 | Girona | 38 | 41 | 44.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 14 | -2.9 | -1.0 | 2:1 vs Barcelona (+2.5) | 0:4 vs Levante (-1.8) |
16 | Sevilla | 38 | 43 | 46.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 12 | -3.5 | -0.4 | 4:1 vs Barcelona (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Levante (-1.9) |
17 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 46 | 52.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 8 | -0.8 | -5.3 | 2:1 vs Barcelona (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Girona (-1.8) |
18 | Osasuna | 38 | 42 | 48.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 9 | +3.3 | -9.9 | 2:1 vs Real Madrid (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Espanyol (-1.7) |
19 | Oviedo | 38 | 29 | 36.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 20 | -2.6 | -4.4 | 1:2 vs Valencia (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Elche (-1.6) |
20 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 45 | 58.7 | -13.7Underperforming −− | 5 | -3.4 | -10.3 | 1:0 vs Atl. Madrid (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Alaves (-2.0) |