Ligue 1

• Le Havre – PSG2026-10-30 18:00
  FT U3.5Model 64.5%Implied 50.0%▲ +14.5%
• Lille – Lens2026-10-30 20:05
  Under 2.5Model 56.8%Implied 45.9%▲ +10.9%
• Lyon – Angers2026-10-31 19:45
  Under 2.5Model 48.3%Implied 41.0%▲ +7.3%
• Marseille – Toulouse2026-11-01 19:45
  Under 1.5 HTModel 68.9%Implied 62.9%▲ +6.0%
• Strasbourg – Auxerre2026-11-01 14:00
  Under 1.5 HTModel 67.3%Implied 63.3%▲ +4.0%
• Paris FC – Monaco2026-11-01 16:15
  Away winModel 36.2%Implied 34.1%▲ +2.0%
• Nice – Rennes2026-10-31 16:15
  Over 1.5 HTModel 46.6%Implied 44.6%▲ +2.0%
• Lorient – Brest2026-10-31 19:45
  Home winModel 42.5%Implied 40.7%▲ +1.8%

#	Match	Date	Time	Market	Model %	Implied	Divergence▼	Odds
1	Le Havre–PSGLigue 1	2026-10-30	18:00	FT U3.5	64.5%	50.0%	▲ +14.5%	2.00
2	Lille–LensLigue 1	2026-10-30	20:05	Under 2.5	56.8%	45.9%	▲ +10.9%	2.18
3	Lyon–AngersLigue 1	2026-10-31	19:45	Under 2.5	48.3%	41.0%	▲ +7.3%	2.44
4	Marseille–ToulouseLigue 1	2026-11-01	19:45	Under 1.5 HT	68.9%	62.9%	▲ +6.0%	1.59
5	Strasbourg–AuxerreLigue 1	2026-11-01	14:00	Under 1.5 HT	67.3%	63.3%	▲ +4.0%	1.58
6	Paris FC–MonacoLigue 1	2026-11-01	16:15	Away win	36.2%	34.1%	▲ +2.0%	2.93
7	Nice–RennesLigue 1	2026-10-31	16:15	Over 1.5 HT	46.6%	44.6%	▲ +2.0%	2.24
8	Lorient–BrestLigue 1	2026-10-31	19:45	Home win	42.5%	40.7%	▲ +1.8%	2.46

Ligue 1 predictions and stats by market: 1X2 · Over 2.5 · Under 2.5 · BTTS · HT Over 1.5 · HT Under 1.5

We simulate the remaining Ligue 1 schedule 10,000 times a day. PSG win the 2026-2027 title in 86% of them, projecting ~73 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Troyes finish in the bottom three in 96% of simulations. Biggest move after the latest results: PSG's title chance up 5 points in a day.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	PSG	17	73	65–81	▲86%	99%	—
2	Monaco	15	58	50–67	4%	55%	<1%
3	Lille	15	57	49–66	2%	49%	<1%
4	Lyon	14	57	49–66	▼2%	47%	<1%
5	Lens	13	57	48–65	2%	46%	<1%
· · ·
16	Angers	8	31	23–38	—	—	70%
17	Le Havre	2	28	20–36	—	—	78%
18	Troyes	5	23	16–30	—	—	96%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 234 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/france/ligue-1/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Ligue 1 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/france/ligue-1">Ligue 1 stats by Football Charts</a></p>

How each market's prices compared with what happened in every Ligue 1 match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.