Ligue 1: Match Result (1X2) predictions and stats

Ligue 1 2026/27 so far: home wins 44%, draws 26% and away wins 29% of 72 matches (results to 26 Oct).

Each match shown with the 1X2 outcome where the score-distribution model diverges most from the market price. Probabilities only — no published record in this market yet.

Upcoming Ligue 1 fixtures

Today 0Upcoming 8

Kickoff times: Europe/Belgrade

After Tue, 27 Oct 2026 · 8 matches

• Marseille – Toulouse1 Nov 20:45
  Home winModel 54.4%Implied 52.6%▲ +1.8%
• Lorient – Brest31 Oct 20:45
  Home winModel 42.5%Implied 40.7%▲ +1.8%
• Paris FC – Monaco1 Nov 17:15
  Away winModel 36.2%Implied 34.1%▲ +2.0%
• Nice – Rennes31 Oct 17:15
  Home winModel 35.7%Implied 36.9%-1.2%
• Lille – Lens30 Oct 21:05
  DrawModel 28.9%Implied 28.2%▲ +0.6%
• Strasbourg – Auxerre1 Nov 15:00
  DrawModel 24.0%Implied 25.7%-1.7%
• Lyon – Angers31 Oct 20:45
  DrawModel 21.3%Implied 20.1%▲ +1.1%
• Le Havre – PSG30 Oct 19:00
  DrawModel 19.8%Implied 14.8%▲ +5.0%

#	Match	Date	Time	Market	Model %▼	Implied	Divergence	Odds
1	Marseille–ToulouseLigue 1	1 Nov	20:45	Home win	54.4%	52.6%	▲ +1.8%	1.90
2	Lorient–BrestLigue 1	31 Oct	20:45	Home win	42.5%	40.7%	▲ +1.8%	2.46
3	Paris FC–MonacoLigue 1	1 Nov	17:15	Away win	36.2%	34.1%	▲ +2.0%	2.93
4	Nice–RennesLigue 1	31 Oct	17:15	Home win	35.7%	36.9%	-1.2%	2.71
5	Lille–LensLigue 1	30 Oct	21:05	Draw	28.9%	28.2%	▲ +0.6%	3.54
6	Strasbourg–AuxerreLigue 1	1 Nov	15:00	Draw	24.0%	25.7%	-1.7%	3.89
7	Lyon–AngersLigue 1	31 Oct	20:45	Draw	21.3%	20.1%	▲ +1.1%	4.97
8	Le Havre–PSGLigue 1	30 Oct	19:00	Draw	19.8%	14.8%	▲ +5.0%	6.75

Model % is the pre-match estimated chance, not a live probability or a past hit rate.

Implied % comes from the odds. Divergence is the difference in percentage points.

Ligue 1 table, fixtures and season projection →

These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.