Match Result (1X2) — model probabilities
Each match shown with the 1X2 outcome where the score-distribution model diverges most from the market price.
Kickoff times: Europe/Belgrade
Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 10 matches
Francs Borains – Dender4 Nov 20:00Away winModel 57.7%Implied 47.4%▲ +10.3%
Cardiff – West Ham4 Nov 20:45Away winModel 55.4%Implied 51.0%▲ +4.4%- Kortrijk – KV Mechelen4 Nov 20:30Away winModel 50.2%Implied 39.2%▲ +11.0%
Athletico-PR – Vasco4 Nov 23:30Home winModel 48.3%Implied 48.8%-0.5%- Oxford Utd – Reading4 Nov 20:45Home winModel 47.6%Implied 38.0%▲ +9.6%
Artis Brno – Bohemians4 Nov 18:00Away winModel 45.1%Implied 39.7%▲ +5.4%- Anderlecht U23 – K. Lierse S.K.4 Nov 20:00Away winModel 40.9%Implied 41.7%-0.7%
- Bristol City – Wolves4 Nov 21:00Home winModel 37.1%Implied 29.9%▲ +7.2%
- Wrexham – Middlesbrough4 Nov 20:45Home winModel 27.9%Implied 23.9%▲ +4.0%
- Flamengo RJ – Gremio4 Nov 23:30DrawModel 15.9%Implied 12.7%▲ +3.2%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Francs Borains– Dender | 4 Nov | 20:00 | Away win | 57.7% | 47.4% | ▲ +10.3% | 2.11 |
| 2 |  Cardiff– West Ham | 4 Nov | 20:45 | Away win | 55.4% | 51.0% | ▲ +4.4% | 1.96 |
| 3 |  Kortrijk– KV Mechelen | 4 Nov | 20:30 | Away win | 50.2% | 39.2% | ▲ +11.0% | 2.55 |
| 4 |  Athletico-PR– Vasco | 4 Nov | 23:30 | Home win | 48.3% | 48.8% | -0.5% | 2.05 |
| 5 |  Oxford Utd– Reading | 4 Nov | 20:45 | Home win | 47.6% | 38.0% | ▲ +9.6% | 2.63 |
| 6 |  Artis Brno– Bohemians | 4 Nov | 18:00 | Away win | 45.1% | 39.7% | ▲ +5.4% | 2.52 |
| 7 |  Anderlecht U23– K. Lierse S.K. | 4 Nov | 20:00 | Away win | 40.9% | 41.7% | -0.7% | 2.40 |
| 8 |  Bristol City– Wolves | 4 Nov | 21:00 | Home win | 37.1% | 29.9% | ▲ +7.2% | 3.34 |
| 9 |  Wrexham– Middlesbrough | 4 Nov | 20:45 | Home win | 27.9% | 23.9% | ▲ +4.0% | 4.18 |
| 10 |  Flamengo RJ– Gremio | 4 Nov | 23:30 | Draw | 15.9% | 12.7% | ▲ +3.2% | 7.89 |
Model % is the pre-match estimated chance, not a live probability or a past hit rate.
Implied % comes from the odds. Divergence is the difference in percentage points.
Match Result (1X2): by day
Match Result (1X2): by league
These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.