Ligue 1hub →Ligue 1 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Monaco | 5 | 13 | 7.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 7 | +2.6 | +3.2 | 1:2 vs PSG (+2.5) | 1:1 vs Strasbourg (-0.5) |
2 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 | 7.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 6 | +2.0 | +1.4 | 2:3 vs Marseille (+2.0) | 0:0 vs Troyes (-0.6) |
3 | Lyon | 5 | 11 | 8.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 3 | +1.0 | +1.5 | 0:2 vs Toulouse (+1.8) | 1:1 vs Le Havre (-1.2) |
4 | Rennes | 5 | 10 | 7.7 | +2.4Outperforming | 5 | +2.4 | -0.0 | 1:0 vs Marseille (+1.3) | 4:0 vs Lyon (-1.1) |
5 | Lille | 5 | 10 | 8.1 | +1.9On expectation | 4 | +1.0 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs Toulouse (+1.3) | 2:1 vs Nice (-1.6) |
6 | Strasbourg | 5 | 7 | 5.4 | +1.6On expectation | 14 | +1.8 | -0.3 | 2:1 vs Lens (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Paris FC (-0.9) |
7 | Angers | 5 | 7 | 5.8 | +1.2On expectation | 13 | -0.4 | +1.5 | 1:3 vs Auxerre (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Rennes (-0.9) |
8 | Le Mans | 5 | 6 | 4.9 | +1.1On expectation | 18 | +1.5 | -0.4 | 2:1 vs Lorient (+1.7) | 3:2 vs Rennes (-0.6) |
9 | Auxerre | 5 | 6 | 5.3 | +0.7On expectation | 15 | +1.9 | -1.2 | 2:1 vs Brest (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Angers (-1.6) |
10 | Brest | 5 | 5 | 6.0 | -1.1On expectation | 12 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 1:2 vs Le Havre (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Auxerre (-1.5) |
11 | Troyes | 5 | 4 | 5.1 | -1.1On expectation | 16 | -1.4 | +0.3 | 1:2 vs Lorient (+2.0) | 2:6 vs Strasbourg (-1.3) |
12 | Lorient | 5 | 5 | 6.6 | -1.6On expectation | 10 | -2.3 | +0.7 | 0:1 vs Lens (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Troyes (-1.8) |
13 | Toulouse | 5 | 5 | 7.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 9 | -1.5 | -0.5 | 3:2 vs Le Havre (+1.1) | 0:2 vs Lyon (-1.5) |
14 | Nice | 5 | 5 | 7.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 8 | +0.4 | -2.4 | 2:1 vs Lille (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Auxerre (-1.4) |
15 | PSG | 5 | 8 | 11.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 1 | -2.3 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Marseille (+0.8) | 1:2 vs Monaco (-2.3) |
16 | Le Havre | 5 | 2 | 5.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 17 | -2.7 | -0.4 | 1:1 vs Lyon (+0.4) | 1:2 vs Brest (-1.3) |
17 | Marseille | 5 | 3 | 6.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 11 | -1.3 | -2.2 | 4:0 vs Strasbourg (+1.1) | 2:3 vs Paris FC (-1.8) |
18 | Lens | 5 | 4 | 8.9 | -5.0Underperforming | 2 | -1.3 | -3.7 | 5:2 vs Auxerre (+0.8) | 0:1 vs Lorient (-2.1) |