Ligue 1hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nantes | 38 | 55 | 45.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 10 | +10.8 | -1.3 | 3:1 vs PSG (+2.5) | 1:0 vs Troyes (-1.4) |
2 | Nice | 38 | 67 | 58.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 7 | +0.6 | +7.9 | 1:0 vs PSG (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Metz (-2.3) |
3 | Marseille | 38 | 71 | 63.1 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 5 | -3.4 | +11.3 | 0:2 vs Monaco (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Clermont (-2.1) |
4 | Strasbourg | 38 | 63 | 55.6 | +7.4Outperforming ++ | 9 | +7.1 | +0.3 | 0:3 vs Nice (+2.1) | 4:3 vs Bordeaux (-1.8) |
5 | Brest | 38 | 48 | 42.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 16 | +0.1 | +5.7 | 0:1 vs Lens (+2.3) | 2:4 vs Bordeaux (-2.0) |
6 | Lens | 38 | 62 | 56.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 8 | +1.8 | +3.7 | 0:2 vs Monaco (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Brest (-2.1) |
7 | Reims | 38 | 46 | 42.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 15 | -3.4 | +6.7 | 1:2 vs Monaco (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Metz (-1.9) |
8 | Monaco | 38 | 69 | 68.6 | +0.4On expectation | 2 | +1.7 | -1.3 | 3:0 vs PSG (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Reims (-2.2) |
9 | Rennes | 38 | 66 | 65.8 | +0.2On expectation | 4 | +6.6 | -6.4 | 2:0 vs PSG (+2.4) | 2:1 vs Nantes (-2.1) |
10 | Montpellier | 38 | 43 | 43.4 | -0.3On expectation | 13 | +0.1 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs Nice (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Troyes (-1.9) |
11 | Troyes | 38 | 38 | 38.6 | -0.6On expectation | 19 | -1.0 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs Montpellier (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Bordeaux (-1.6) |
12 | PSG | 38 | 86 | 86.9 | -0.9On expectation | 1 | +4.9 | -5.8 | 1:5 vs Lille (+1.0) | 3:1 vs Nantes (-2.3) |
13 | Lille | 38 | 55 | 58.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 6 | -4.4 | +0.7 | 1:3 vs Nice (+2.1) | 0:4 vs Nice (-1.8) |
14 | Angers | 38 | 41 | 44.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 11 | -0.3 | -3.4 | 3:0 vs Lyon (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Clermont (-1.7) |
15 | Metz | 38 | 31 | 35.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 20 | -4.8 | +0.8 | 3:2 vs Lyon (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Troyes (-1.5) |
16 | Lorient | 38 | 36 | 41.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 17 | -0.7 | -4.9 | 1:0 vs Monaco (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Reims (-1.6) |
17 | Lyon | 38 | 62 | 68.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 3 | -0.3 | -6.3 | 0:3 vs Marseille (+1.7) | 3:2 vs Metz (-2.4) |
18 | Bordeaux | 38 | 31 | 39.4 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 18 | -7.0 | -1.4 | 2:4 vs Brest (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Troyes (-1.7) |
19 | Clermont | 38 | 36 | 44.7 | -8.7Underperforming −− | 12 | -8.0 | -0.6 | 0:2 vs Marseille (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Lorient (-1.6) |
20 | St Etienne | 38 | 32 | 43.1 | -11.1Underperforming −− | 14 | -6.7 | -4.3 | 0:1 vs Angers (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Bordeaux (-1.8) |
