Liga Portugal

• Braga – Famalicao2026-11-01 20:30
  Away winModel 31.3%Implied 20.2%▲ +11.2%
• Moreirense – Estrela2026-10-31 15:30
  Home winModel 43.0%Implied 34.4%▲ +8.6%
• Arouca – Nacional2026-11-01 15:30
  Over 1.5 HTModel 40.9%Implied 38.2%▲ +2.7%
• FC Porto – Estoril2026-10-31 20:30
  BTTS: NoModel 59.7%Implied 57.1%▲ +2.6%
• Casa Pia – Sporting CP2026-10-30 20:15
  Over 2.5Model 65.6%Implied 63.7%▲ +1.9%
• Benfica – Alverca2026-11-02 20:15
  Under 1.5 HTModel 59.3%Implied 57.5%▲ +1.8%

#	Match	Date	Time	Market	Model %	Implied	Divergence▼	Odds
1	Braga–FamalicaoLiga Portugal	2026-11-01	20:30	Away win	31.3%	20.2%	▲ +11.2%	4.96
2	Moreirense–EstrelaLiga Portugal	2026-10-31	15:30	Home win	43.0%	34.4%	▲ +8.6%	2.91
3	Arouca–NacionalLiga Portugal	2026-11-01	15:30	Over 1.5 HT	40.9%	38.2%	▲ +2.7%	2.62
4	FC Porto–EstorilLiga Portugal	2026-10-31	20:30	BTTS: No	59.7%	57.1%	▲ +2.6%	1.75
5	Casa Pia–Sporting CPLiga Portugal	2026-10-30	20:15	Over 2.5	65.6%	63.7%	▲ +1.9%	1.57
6	Benfica–AlvercaLiga Portugal	2026-11-02	20:15	Under 1.5 HT	59.3%	57.5%	▲ +1.8%	1.74

Liga Portugal predictions and stats by market: 1X2 · Over 2.5 · Under 2.5 · BTTS · HT Over 1.5 · HT Under 1.5

We simulate the remaining Liga Portugal schedule 10,000 times a day. FC Porto win the 2026-2027 title in 63% of them, projecting ~81 points; Benfica are next at 29%. At the other end, Casa Pia finish in the bottom three in 70% of simulations. Biggest move after the latest results: Benfica's title chance up 4 points in a day.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	FC Porto	27	81	74–89	▼63%	>99%	—
2	Benfica	22	77	70–84	▲29%	>99%	—
3	Sporting CP	18	72	65–79	8%	99%	—
4	Academico Viseu	17	59	51–67	<1%	55%	—
5	Santa Clara	18	52	44–60	—	13%	<1%
· · ·
16	Estoril	2	30	22–38	—	—	58%
17	Rio Ave	7	29	22–37	—	—	62%
18	Casa Pia	7	28	21–35	—	—	70%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 225 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/portugal/liga-portugal/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Liga Portugal live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/portugal/liga-portugal">Liga Portugal stats by Football Charts</a></p>

How each market's prices compared with what happened in every Liga Portugal match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.