Liga Portugalhub →Liga Portugal 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Santa Clara | 7 | 15 | 9.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 7 | +2.0 | +3.1 | 1:2 vs Arouca (+1.7) | 2:2 vs Nacional (-0.8) |
2 | FC Porto | 7 | 21 | 15.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.2 | +1.9 | 3:1 vs Benfica (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Moreirense (0.3) |
3 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 11 | 6.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 15 | +0.1 | +4.4 | 2:1 vs Vitoria Guimaraes (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Santa Clara (-1.3) |
4 | Arouca | 7 | 11 | 7.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 11 | +1.1 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs Vitoria Guimaraes (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Santa Clara (-1.4) |
5 | Moreirense | 7 | 8 | 5.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 17 | +1.7 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs Casa Pia (+1.7) | 4:0 vs Arouca (-0.9) |
6 | Estrela | 7 | 10 | 7.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 13 | +0.9 | +1.3 | 2:1 vs Braga (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Academico Viseu (-1.6) |
7 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 8 | 7.8 | +0.2On expectation | 12 | +0.3 | -0.1 | 1:0 vs Rio Ave (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Academico Viseu (-1.5) |
8 | Alverca | 7 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.0On expectation | 10 | -0.8 | +0.8 | 1:3 vs Nacional (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Braga (-0.8) |
9 | Maritimo | 7 | 8 | 8.0 | -0.0On expectation | 9 | +0.3 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Famalicao (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Moreirense (-1.4) |
10 | Braga | 6 | 11 | 11.6 | -0.6On expectation | 4 | +1.9 | -2.6 | 1:0 vs Vitoria Guimaraes (+1.2) | 2:1 vs Estrela (-2.0) |
11 | Benfica | 7 | 16 | 17.1 | -1.1On expectation | 1 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 0:7 vs Casa Pia (+0.5) | 2:2 vs Academico Viseu (-1.6) |
12 | Casa Pia | 7 | 4 | 5.4 | -1.4On expectation | 18 | -2.1 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Estoril (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Moreirense (-1.4) |
13 | Sporting CP | 7 | 15 | 16.6 | -1.6On expectation | 2 | +0.1 | -1.7 | 3:2 vs Vitoria Guimaraes (+0.8) | 2:2 vs Arouca (-1.6) |
14 | Rio Ave | 7 | 4 | 6.3 | -2.4Underperforming | 16 | -1.4 | -1.0 | 0:2 vs Estoril (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Gil Vicente (-1.1) |
15 | Nacional | 7 | 4 | 6.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 14 | -2.0 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Estoril (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Estrela (-1.5) |
16 | Famalicao | 7 | 7 | 10.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 6 | -2.4 | -1.0 | 0:4 vs Nacional (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Maritimo (-1.9) |
17 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 5 | 11.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 5 | -3.0 | -3.1 | 1:0 vs Nacional (+1.0) | 0:1 vs Arouca (-1.7) |
18 | Estoril | 7 | 2 | 8.6 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 8 | -4.3 | -2.2 | 2:1 vs Benfica (+-0.2) | 1:2 vs Casa Pia (-1.9) |