Liga Portugal: HT Under 1.5 Goals predictions and stats
Liga Portugal 2026/27 so far: 53 of 81 matches (65%) had one first-half goal or none (results to 26 Oct).
Zero or one total goal by half-time (0–0, 1–0 or 0–1), including first-half added time. Matches ranked by model probability.
Upcoming Liga Portugal fixtures
Kickoff times: Europe/Belgrade
After Tue, 27 Oct 2026 · 6 matches
Braga – Famalicao1 Nov 21:30Under 1.5 HTModel 70.5%Implied 73.0%-2.5%- Moreirense – Estrela31 Oct 16:30Under 1.5 HTModel 63.5%Implied 71.9%-8.5%
- Casa Pia – Sporting CP30 Oct 21:15Under 1.5 HTModel 60.6%Implied 64.1%-3.5%
- Benfica – Alverca2 Nov 21:15Under 1.5 HTModel 59.3%Implied 57.5%▲ +1.8%
- Arouca – Nacional1 Nov 16:30Under 1.5 HTModel 59.1%Implied 69.9%-10.8%
- FC Porto – Estoril31 Oct 21:30Under 1.5 HTModel 55.2%Implied 61.0%-5.8%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Braga– Famalicao | 1 Nov | 21:30 | Under 1.5 HT | 70.5% | 73.0% | -2.5% | 1.37 |
| 2 |  Moreirense– Estrela | 31 Oct | 16:30 | Under 1.5 HT | 63.5% | 71.9% | -8.5% | 1.39 |
| 3 |  Casa Pia– Sporting CP | 30 Oct | 21:15 | Under 1.5 HT | 60.6% | 64.1% | -3.5% | 1.56 |
| 4 |  Benfica– Alverca | 2 Nov | 21:15 | Under 1.5 HT | 59.3% | 57.5% | ▲ +1.8% | 1.74 |
| 5 |  Arouca– Nacional | 1 Nov | 16:30 | Under 1.5 HT | 59.1% | 69.9% | -10.8% | 1.43 |
| 6 |  FC Porto– Estoril | 31 Oct | 21:30 | Under 1.5 HT | 55.2% | 61.0% | -5.8% | 1.64 |
Model % is the pre-match estimated chance, not a live probability or a past hit rate.
Implied % comes from the odds. Divergence is the difference in percentage points.
HT Under 1.5 by team, 2026/27
How often each team's matches had one first-half goal or none this season, highest first. Home and away: matches with one first-half goal or none / matches played.
| Team | Played | HT Under 1.5 | % | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 9 | 8 | 89% | 4/5 | 4/4 |
| Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 8 | 89% | 5/5 | 3/4 |
| Benfica | 9 | 7 | 78% | 3/4 | 4/5 |
| Braga | 9 | 7 | 78% | 4/4 | 3/5 |
| Gil Vicente | 9 | 7 | 78% | 4/5 | 3/4 |
| Santa Clara | 9 | 7 | 78% | 4/5 | 3/4 |
| Academico Viseu | 9 | 6 | 67% | 3/4 | 3/5 |
| Alverca | 9 | 6 | 67% | 5/5 | 1/4 |
| Casa Pia | 9 | 6 | 67% | 2/4 | 4/5 |
| Famalicao | 9 | 6 | 67% | 2/4 | 4/5 |
| Rio Ave | 9 | 6 | 67% | 2/5 | 4/4 |
| Sporting CP | 9 | 6 | 67% | 3/5 | 3/4 |
| Arouca | 9 | 5 | 56% | 1/4 | 4/5 |
| Estrela | 9 | 5 | 56% | 3/5 | 2/4 |
| FC Porto | 9 | 4 | 44% | 2/4 | 2/5 |
| Maritimo | 9 | 4 | 44% | 2/4 | 2/5 |
| Moreirense | 9 | 4 | 44% | 2/4 | 2/5 |
| Nacional | 9 | 4 | 44% | 2/5 | 2/4 |
Latest results
Liga Portugal matches in the 7 days to Mon, 26 Oct 2026, the newest result.
- 26 OctSanta Clara 1:2 Benfica(HT 1:0)HT Under 1.5 yes
- 25 OctEstoril 1:3 Moreirense(HT 0:3)HT Under 1.5 no
- 25 OctNacional 1:0 Braga(HT 1:0)HT Under 1.5 yes
- 25 OctRio Ave 0:4 Famalicao(HT 0:0)HT Under 1.5 yes
- 25 OctSporting CP 1:2 Academico Viseu(HT 0:1)HT Under 1.5 yes
- 24 OctEstrela 0:2 Casa Pia(HT 0:1)HT Under 1.5 yes
- 24 OctAlverca 0:1 Arouca(HT 0:1)HT Under 1.5 yes
- 24 OctGil Vicente 0:1 FC Porto(HT 0:0)HT Under 1.5 yes
- 23 OctVitoria Guimaraes 5:0 Maritimo(HT 1:0)HT Under 1.5 yes
Liga Portugal table, fixtures and season projection →
HT Under 1.5 Goals: by day
HT Under 1.5 Goals: by league
These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.