Biggest divergence
San Diego FC – Seattle Sounders+10.1%
FT U3.5 · data 66% vs market 56%
Fastest starters
Los Angeles Galaxy21%
9 of their 43 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Austin FC42%
16 of their 38 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
The season in numbers
Market mispricing
+1.7%Draws paid out more than the market charged: +1.7% at market prices across 450 matches. The other 6 markets returned less than they cost — the bookmaker margin at work.
Most underrated by results
-11.4 ptsColumbus Crew produced performances worth 11 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
43%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 27.9' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →
San Diego FC – Seattle Sounders2026-10-25 02:30FT U3.5Model 66.0%Implied 55.9%▲ +10.1%- Portland Timbers – Charlotte2026-10-25 02:30FT U3.5Model 62.1%Implied 52.6%▲ +9.5%
- Atlanta Utd – Chicago Fire2026-10-25 23:30Under 1.5 HTModel 67.2%Implied 58.8%▲ +8.4%
- CF Montreal – Nashville SC2026-10-24 17:30Under 2.5Model 49.5%Implied 42.2%▲ +7.3%
- Los Angeles FC – Los Angeles Galaxy2026-10-26 01:00FT U3.5Model 62.7%Implied 56.8%▲ +5.9%
- New York Red Bulls – Inter Miami2026-10-24 21:30FT U3.5Model 50.7%Implied 46.5%▲ +4.2%
- Columbus Crew – Toronto FC2026-10-24 19:30FT U3.5Model 64.0%Implied 59.9%▲ +4.1%
- Houston Dynamo – Minnesota United2026-10-25 00:30Under 1.5 HTModel 67.7%Implied 64.5%▲ +3.2%
- Colorado Rapids – Vancouver Whitecaps2026-10-25 00:30Under 2.5Model 47.3%Implied 44.2%▲ +3.1%
- FC Dallas – San Jose Earthquakes2026-10-25 00:30Over 1.5 HTModel 50.0%Implied 47.6%▲ +2.4%
- Sporting Kansas City – Austin FC2026-10-25 00:30Away winModel 37.2%Implied 34.8%▲ +2.4%
- Philadelphia Union – New England Revolution2026-10-25 23:30Under 1.5 HTModel 59.7%Implied 57.8%▲ +1.9%
- Real Salt Lake – St. Louis City2026-10-25 00:30Under 1.5 HTModel 62.7%Implied 61.3%▲ +1.3%
- FC Cincinnati – DC United2026-10-22 23:00Home winModel 61.5%Implied 60.2%▲ +1.2%
- Orlando City – New York City2026-10-25 23:30Home winModel 44.7%Implied 44.1%▲ +0.6%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Diego FC– Seattle Sounders | 2026-10-25 | 02:30 | FT U3.5 | 66.0% | 55.9% | ▲ +10.1% | 1.79 |
| 2 |  Portland Timbers– Charlotte | 2026-10-25 | 02:30 | FT U3.5 | 62.1% | 52.6% | ▲ +9.5% | 1.90 |
| 3 |  Atlanta Utd– Chicago Fire | 2026-10-25 | 23:30 | Under 1.5 HT | 67.2% | 58.8% | ▲ +8.4% | 1.70 |
| 4 |  CF Montreal– Nashville SC | 2026-10-24 | 17:30 | Under 2.5 | 49.5% | 42.2% | ▲ +7.3% | 2.37 |
| 5 |  Los Angeles FC– Los Angeles Galaxy | 2026-10-26 | 01:00 | FT U3.5 | 62.7% | 56.8% | ▲ +5.9% | 1.76 |
| 6 |  New York Red Bulls– Inter Miami | 2026-10-24 | 21:30 | FT U3.5 | 50.7% | 46.5% | ▲ +4.2% | 2.15 |
| 7 |  Columbus Crew– Toronto FC | 2026-10-24 | 19:30 | FT U3.5 | 64.0% | 59.9% | ▲ +4.1% | 1.67 |
| 8 |  Houston Dynamo– Minnesota United | 2026-10-25 | 00:30 | Under 1.5 HT | 67.7% | 64.5% | ▲ +3.2% | 1.55 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids– Vancouver Whitecaps | 2026-10-25 | 00:30 | Under 2.5 | 47.3% | 44.2% | ▲ +3.1% | 2.26 |
| 10 |  FC Dallas– San Jose Earthquakes | 2026-10-25 | 00:30 | Over 1.5 HT | 50.0% | 47.6% | ▲ +2.4% | 2.10 |
| 11 |  Sporting Kansas City– Austin FC | 2026-10-25 | 00:30 | Away win | 37.2% | 34.8% | ▲ +2.4% | 2.87 |
| 12 |  Philadelphia Union– New England Revolution | 2026-10-25 | 23:30 | Under 1.5 HT | 59.7% | 57.8% | ▲ +1.9% | 1.73 |
| 13 |  Real Salt Lake– St. Louis City | 2026-10-25 | 00:30 | Under 1.5 HT | 62.7% | 61.3% | ▲ +1.3% | 1.63 |
| 14 |  FC Cincinnati– DC United | 2026-10-22 | 23:00 | Home win | 61.5% | 60.2% | ▲ +1.2% | 1.66 |
| 15 |  Orlando City– New York City | 2026-10-25 | 23:30 | Home win | 44.7% | 44.1% | ▲ +0.6% | 2.27 |
Add MLS fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 20 OctWe simulate the remaining MLS schedule 10,000 times a day. Nashville SC win the 2026 title in >99% of them, projecting ~75 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Sporting Kansas City finish in the bottom three in >99% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 67 | 75 | 71–77 | >99% | >99% | — |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 55 | 63 | 59–65 | <1% | 96% | — |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 55 | 62 | 59–65 | — | 94% | — |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 51 | 58 | 54–61 | — | 41% | — |
| 5 | St. Louis City | 51 | 57 | 54–60 | — | 33% | — |
| · · · | |||||||
| 28 | Atlanta Utd | 30 | 35 | 31–38 | — | — | 48% |
| 29 | CF Montreal | 25 | 28 | 25–31 | — | — | >99% |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 22 | 26 | 23–29 | — | — | >99% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 60 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/usa/mls/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="MLS live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/usa/mls">MLS stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every MLS match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Draws▲ +1.7%
at market prices · 450 matcheschart →
Draws in MLS, 2026: across 450 matches the market's prices paid out +1.7% of what they cost. The line is the cumulative gap between price and outcome.Over 2.5 goals▼ −4.7%
at market prices · 450 matcheschart →
Over 2.5 goals in MLS, 2026: across 450 matches the market's prices paid out −4.7% of what they cost. The line is the cumulative gap between price and outcome.HT Over 1.5▼ −8.7%
at market prices · 450 matcheschart →
HT Over 1.5 in MLS, 2026: across 450 matches the market's prices paid out −8.7% of what they cost. The line is the cumulative gap between price and outcome.HT Under 1.5▼ −10.2%
at market prices · 450 matcheschart →
HT Under 1.5 in MLS, 2026: across 450 matches the market's prices paid out −10.2% of what they cost. The line is the cumulative gap between price and outcome.Away wins▼ −10.5%
at market prices · 450 matcheschart →
Away wins in MLS, 2026: across 450 matches the market's prices paid out −10.5% of what they cost. The line is the cumulative gap between price and outcome.Home wins▼ −11.8%
at market prices · 450 matcheschart →
Home wins in MLS, 2026: across 450 matches the market's prices paid out −11.8% of what they cost. The line is the cumulative gap between price and outcome.Under 2.5 goals▼ −14.4%
at market prices · 450 matcheschart →
Under 2.5 goals in MLS, 2026: across 450 matches the market's prices paid out −14.4% of what they cost. The line is the cumulative gap between price and outcome.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 67 | 50.3 | +16.7 | outperformed expectations |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 55 | 59.0 | -4.0 | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 55 | 54.1 | +0.9 | |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 52 | 39.6 | +12.4 | outperformed expectations |
| 5 | St. Louis City | 51 | 41.9 | +9.1 | outperformed expectations |
| · · · | |||||
| 28 | Atlanta Utd | 30 | 36.7 | -6.7 | |
| 29 | CF Montreal | 25 | 34.1 | -9.1 | underperformed expectations |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 22 | 24.9 | -2.9 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisNashville SC67 ptsVancouver Whitecaps55 ptsInter Miami55 ptsNew England Revolution52 ptsSt. Louis City51 ptsFC Dallas51 ptsSan Jose Earthquakes48 ptsChicago Fire48 ptsCharlotte47 ptsHouston Dynamo47 ptsLos Angeles FC46 ptsPhiladelphia Union46 ptsSeattle Sounders42 ptsOrlando City41 ptsLos Angeles Galaxy40 ptsColorado Rapids39 ptsReal Salt Lake36 ptsToronto FC36 ptsFC Cincinnati36 ptsNew York Red Bulls36 ptsColumbus Crew35 ptsNew York City34 ptsSan Diego FC34 ptsPortland Timbers34 ptsMinnesota United34 ptsDC United33 ptsAustin FC31 ptsAtlanta Utd30 ptsCF Montreal25 ptsSporting Kansas City22 pts
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €296 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+