MLShub →MLS 2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 66 | 50.4 | +15.6Outperforming ++ | 11 | +10.1 | +5.5 | 2:4 vs Orlando City (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Nashville SC (-1.7) |
2 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 65 | 51.3 | +13.7Outperforming ++ | 10 | +0.4 | +13.3 | 1:2 vs Orlando City (+2.0) | 1:2 vs DC United (-2.2) |
3 | Charlotte | 34 | 59 | 46.6 | +12.4Outperforming ++ | 15 | +11.8 | +0.5 | 0:1 vs FC Cincinnati (+2.1) | 1:4 vs CF Montreal (-2.1) |
4 | San Diego FC | 34 | 63 | 52.2 | +10.8Outperforming ++ | 8 | -5.1 | +15.9 | 0:2 vs Los Angeles Galaxy (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Toronto FC (-2.2) |
5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 63 | 53.2 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.0 | +7.7 | 1:3 vs Minnesota United (+2.2) | 1:2 vs FC Dallas (-2.3) |
6 | New York City | 34 | 56 | 48.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 12 | +3.9 | +3.6 | 1:2 vs Orlando City (+2.1) | 1:2 vs DC United (-2.1) |
7 | Inter Miami | 34 | 65 | 57.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.5 | +4.7 | 1:4 vs Houston Dynamo (+1.7) | 3:5 vs Chicago Fire (-2.0) |
8 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 53 | 46.2 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 16 | -3.6 | +10.4 | 3:5 vs Inter Miami (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Philadelphia Union (-1.7) |
9 | Minnesota United | 34 | 58 | 51.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 9 | -2.7 | +9.4 | 1:3 vs San Diego FC (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Colorado Rapids (-2.1) |
10 | FC Dallas | 34 | 44 | 40.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 25 | -4.4 | +7.6 | 1:2 vs Vancouver Whitecaps (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Chicago Fire (-2.0) |
11 | Nashville SC | 34 | 54 | 52.3 | +1.7On expectation | 7 | +5.1 | -3.4 | 1:3 vs Philadelphia Union (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Atlanta Utd (-2.0) |
12 | Austin FC | 34 | 47 | 45.7 | +1.3On expectation | 17 | +0.6 | +0.7 | 0:1 vs Los Angeles FC (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Colorado Rapids (-1.9) |
13 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 44 | 43.2 | +0.8On expectation | 21 | +0.6 | +0.2 | 0:1 vs Los Angeles FC (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Real Salt Lake (-1.5) |
14 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 60 | 59.5 | +0.5On expectation | 1 | +0.3 | +0.2 | 0:1 vs Minnesota United (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Portland Timbers (-2.2) |
15 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 55 | 55.1 | -0.1On expectation | 3 | +3.4 | -3.5 | 1:2 vs New York City (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Minnesota United (-1.8) |
16 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 54 | 54.4 | -0.4On expectation | 5 | +0.1 | -0.5 | 2:4 vs FC Cincinnati (+1.7) | 1:2 vs New England Revolution (-2.1) |
17 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 41 | 42.3 | -1.3On expectation | 23 | +1.7 | -3.0 | 1:2 vs Minnesota United (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Sporting Kansas City (-1.9) |
18 | Orlando City | 34 | 53 | 54.5 | -1.5On expectation | 4 | -3.8 | +2.3 | 0:3 vs Inter Miami (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Philadelphia Union (-2.0) |
19 | Toronto FC | 34 | 32 | 34.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 30 | -5.4 | +3.3 | 0:1 vs San Diego FC (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Chicago Fire (-1.6) |
20 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 41 | 43.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 20 | -6.1 | +3.7 | 0:1 vs San Diego FC (+2.1) | 1:3 vs St. Louis City (-1.9) |
21 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 43 | 46.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 14 | +5.3 | -9.0 | 1:0 vs Philadelphia Union (+1.6) | 1:2 vs DC United (-1.7) |
22 | New England Revolution | 34 | 36 | 41.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 24 | -9.1 | +3.6 | 0:1 vs Atlanta Utd (+2.3) | 1:3 vs CF Montreal (-1.9) |
23 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 41 | 47.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 13 | -1.7 | -4.8 | 1:3 vs San Diego FC (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Toronto FC (-1.9) |
24 | CF Montreal | 34 | 28 | 35.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 29 | -10.6 | +3.4 | 1:4 vs Charlotte (+2.3) | 1:6 vs Toronto FC (-1.8) |
25 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 37 | 45.2 | -8.2Underperforming −− | 18 | -10.0 | +1.8 | 3:4 vs San Diego FC (+2.2) | 1:3 vs CF Montreal (-1.9) |
26 | St. Louis City | 34 | 32 | 40.8 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 26 | -6.6 | -2.2 | 1:3 vs San Jose Earthquakes (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Houston Dynamo (-1.6) |
27 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 28 | 37.7 | -9.7Underperforming −− | 28 | -6.8 | -2.9 | 1:2 vs Colorado Rapids (+2.1) | 1:2 vs San Jose Earthquakes (-1.7) |
28 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 30 | 42.5 | -12.5Underperforming −− | 22 | -3.7 | -8.8 | 2:1 vs FC Dallas (+1.7) | 0:2 vs San Diego FC (-2.0) |
29 | DC United | 34 | 26 | 38.9 | -12.9Underperforming −− | 27 | -11.3 | -1.6 | 1:2 vs FC Cincinnati (+2.4) | 0:1 vs FC Cincinnati (-1.5) |
30 | Atlanta Utd | 34 | 28 | 45.0 | -17.0Underperforming −− | 19 | -7.5 | -9.5 | 0:1 vs Nashville SC (+2.2) | 0:1 vs New England Revolution (-2.1) |