MLS 2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Inter Miami | 34 | 74 | 51.4 | +22.6Outperforming ++ | 6 | +4.8 | +16.8 | 1:2 vs Vancouver Whitecaps (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Atlanta Utd (-2.1) |
2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 64 | 51.1 | +12.9Outperforming ++ | 7 | +11.7 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Real Salt Lake (+2.2) | 2:0 vs FC Dallas (-1.5) |
3 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 66 | 56.8 | +9.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +0.3 | +8.9 | 1:5 vs Los Angeles FC (+2.0) | 1:2 vs FC Cincinnati (-1.9) |
4 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 59 | 51.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 8 | +3.8 | +4.2 | 1:2 vs Philadelphia Union (+2.1) | 0:2 vs San Jose Earthquakes (-2.3) |
5 | Minnesota United | 34 | 52 | 44.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 18 | -3.1 | +10.7 | 1:2 vs Atlanta Utd (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Austin FC (-2.0) |
6 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 59 | 52.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 5 | -7.3 | +14.3 | 1:2 vs Columbus Crew (+2.1) | 1:2 vs New England Revolution (-2.0) |
7 | CF Montreal | 34 | 43 | 36.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 29 | +6.2 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Atlanta Utd (+2.2) | 0:5 vs New England Revolution (-1.7) |
8 | Charlotte | 34 | 51 | 44.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 17 | +3.7 | +2.7 | 1:3 vs FC Cincinnati (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Atlanta Utd (-1.8) |
9 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 64 | 59.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 1 | +1.3 | +3.1 | 1:2 vs FC Cincinnati (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Houston Dynamo (-1.9) |
10 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 54 | 50.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 9 | -2.7 | +6.3 | 0:2 vs Los Angeles FC (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Toronto FC (-2.1) |
11 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 57 | 53.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 3 | -2.5 | +6.0 | 0:4 vs Columbus Crew (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Vancouver Whitecaps (-1.9) |
12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 50 | 46.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 14 | +2.6 | +0.6 | 0:2 vs New York City (+2.2) | 2:3 vs San Jose Earthquakes (-1.9) |
13 | Orlando City | 34 | 52 | 49.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 11 | -7.1 | +7.0 | 2:3 vs Philadelphia Union (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Toronto FC (-2.2) |
14 | Austin FC | 34 | 42 | 39.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 27 | +1.4 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Portland Timbers (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Portland Timbers (-1.6) |
15 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 47 | 45.8 | +1.2On expectation | 15 | +3.3 | -2.1 | 1:2 vs New York City (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Austin FC (-2.1) |
16 | New York City | 34 | 50 | 49.4 | +0.6On expectation | 10 | +3.6 | -3.0 | 1:2 vs Philadelphia Union (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Colorado Rapids (-2.0) |
17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 41 | 41.1 | -0.1On expectation | 24 | +6.4 | -6.5 | 3:4 vs DC United (+2.1) | 1:2 vs CF Montreal (-1.7) |
18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 47 | 48.3 | -1.3On expectation | 12 | -8.0 | +6.8 | 0:2 vs Seattle Sounders (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Inter Miami (-1.9) |
19 | Toronto FC | 34 | 37 | 40.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 25 | -5.1 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Orlando City (+2.4) | 1:4 vs Chicago Fire (-1.7) |
20 | Atlanta Utd | 34 | 40 | 44.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 20 | -6.2 | +1.0 | 1:3 vs Inter Miami (+2.3) | 1:2 vs CF Montreal (-2.0) |
21 | DC United | 34 | 40 | 45.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 16 | -11.0 | +5.5 | 2:3 vs Atlanta Utd (+2.1) | 3:4 vs FC Dallas (-1.9) |
22 | Nashville SC | 34 | 36 | 42.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 21 | -5.6 | -0.4 | 0:2 vs Atlanta Utd (+2.1) | 1:2 vs New England Revolution (-1.8) |
23 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 47 | 53.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 4 | -4.3 | -2.0 | 1:2 vs FC Cincinnati (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Philadelphia Union (-1.9) |
24 | St. Louis City | 34 | 37 | 44.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 19 | -2.4 | -4.9 | 1:2 vs San Jose Earthquakes (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Colorado Rapids (-1.7) |
25 | New England Revolution | 34 | 31 | 39.6 | -8.6Underperforming −− | 26 | -6.5 | -2.1 | 1:2 vs FC Cincinnati (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Toronto FC (-1.8) |
26 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 31 | 41.9 | -10.9Underperforming −− | 22 | -4.5 | -6.4 | 1:2 vs San Jose Earthquakes (+1.9) | 3:4 vs Real Salt Lake (-1.6) |
27 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 37 | 48.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 13 | -13.2 | -0.8 | 0:2 vs New York Red Bulls (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Real Salt Lake (-1.8) |
28 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 30 | 41.8 | -11.8Underperforming −− | 23 | -7.4 | -4.4 | 0:1 vs FC Cincinnati (+2.0) | 0:1 vs New England Revolution (-1.8) |
29 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 21 | 38.4 | -17.4Underperforming −− | 28 | -11.7 | -5.7 | 0:2 vs Real Salt Lake (+2.5) | 0:3 vs Colorado Rapids (-1.7) |
