MLShub →MLS 2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 69 | 51.6 | +17.4Outperforming ++ | 6 | +10.1 | +7.3 | 1:2 vs New York Red Bulls (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Orlando City (-1.9) |
2 | Orlando City | 34 | 63 | 46.6 | +16.4Outperforming ++ | 13 | +3.6 | +12.7 | 1:2 vs Philadelphia Union (+2.2) | 1:3 vs DC United (-1.7) |
3 | St. Louis City | 34 | 56 | 43.1 | +12.9Outperforming ++ | 22 | +7.1 | +5.9 | 2:3 vs Austin FC (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Portland Timbers (-1.8) |
4 | New England Revolution | 34 | 55 | 47.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 11 | +10.9 | -3.2 | 0:1 vs Charlotte (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Inter Miami (-1.4) |
5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 | 45.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 16 | +8.3 | -3.2 | 0:1 vs Los Angeles FC (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Minnesota United (-1.8) |
6 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 57 | 52.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 5 | +8.4 | -3.4 | 0:2 vs DC United (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Inter Miami (-2.0) |
7 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 50 | 45.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 17 | -6.0 | +10.7 | 0:1 vs Los Angeles FC (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Sporting Kansas City (-1.9) |
8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 44 | 41.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 25 | +2.4 | -2.8 | 0:1 vs Seattle Sounders (+2.1) | 1:2 vs St. Louis City (-1.8) |
9 | FC Dallas | 34 | 46 | 44.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 20 | -1.2 | +0.3 | 1:3 vs Real Salt Lake (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Minnesota United (-1.8) |
10 | Atlanta Utd | 34 | 51 | 49.4 | +1.6On expectation | 7 | +4.2 | -2.6 | 0:2 vs Seattle Sounders (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Charlotte (-2.0) |
11 | CF Montreal | 34 | 41 | 40.1 | +0.9On expectation | 27 | +8.1 | -7.3 | 0:2 vs Sporting Kansas City (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Atlanta Utd (-1.4) |
12 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 55 | 54.1 | +0.8On expectation | 2 | +3.4 | -2.5 | 0:2 vs Nashville SC (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Orlando City (-2.0) |
13 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 53 | 52.1 | +0.8On expectation | 3 | -4.7 | +5.6 | 1:2 vs Austin FC (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Austin FC (-2.1) |
14 | Nashville SC | 34 | 49 | 48.3 | +0.8On expectation | 10 | +2.0 | -1.2 | 0:3 vs Sporting Kansas City (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Philadelphia Union (-1.7) |
15 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 43 | 43.0 | -0.0On expectation | 23 | +2.4 | -3.5 | 1:2 vs St. Louis City (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Chicago Fire (-1.9) |
16 | Charlotte | 34 | 43 | 43.4 | -0.4On expectation | 21 | -0.4 | -0.0 | 1:3 vs Atlanta Utd (+2.2) | 0:1 vs New England Revolution (-1.7) |
17 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 48 | 48.5 | -0.5On expectation | 9 | +1.0 | -1.5 | 2:3 vs Los Angeles FC (+2.2) | 0:1 vs San Jose Earthquakes (-1.9) |
18 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 40 | 42.0 | -2.0On expectation | 24 | -1.4 | -0.6 | 0:1 vs New York Red Bulls (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Orlando City (-1.5) |
19 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 44 | 47.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 12 | -0.8 | -2.3 | 1:2 vs Seattle Sounders (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Chicago Fire (-1.9) |
20 | Minnesota United | 34 | 41 | 46.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 15 | -7.8 | +2.9 | 0:2 vs New York City (+2.1) | 1:2 vs St. Louis City (-1.8) |
21 | Austin FC | 34 | 39 | 44.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 18 | -2.8 | -3.1 | 1:2 vs Seattle Sounders (+2.3) | 2:3 vs St. Louis City (-2.1) |
22 | DC United | 34 | 40 | 46.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 14 | -3.9 | -2.4 | 1:3 vs Orlando City (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Real Salt Lake (-1.9) |
23 | Inter Miami | 34 | 34 | 40.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 26 | -2.3 | -4.2 | 1:2 vs Columbus Crew (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Chicago Fire (-1.6) |
24 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 52 | 59.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 1 | -1.9 | -5.7 | 1:2 vs Sporting Kansas City (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Real Salt Lake (-2.1) |
25 | New York City | 34 | 41 | 49.2 | -8.2Underperforming −− | 8 | +0.7 | -8.9 | 0:1 vs CF Montreal (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Minnesota United (-1.8) |
26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 36 | 44.9 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 19 | -2.8 | -6.0 | 2:1 vs Los Angeles FC (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Charlotte (-1.9) |
27 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 43 | 52.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 4 | -5.5 | -3.6 | 1:2 vs FC Cincinnati (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Chicago Fire (-2.0) |
28 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 27 | 38.1 | -11.1Underperforming −− | 28 | -8.8 | -3.3 | 1:3 vs Los Angeles Galaxy (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Real Salt Lake (-1.8) |
29 | Toronto FC | 34 | 22 | 37.8 | -15.8Underperforming −− | 29 | -5.7 | -10.1 | 3:1 vs Philadelphia Union (+2.0) | 0:2 vs New England Revolution (-1.6) |