MLS: Over 2.5 Goals predictions and stats
MLS 2026 so far: 297 of 466 matches (64%) had three or more goals (results to 26 Oct).
Three or more total goals at full-time. Matches ranked by model probability.
Upcoming MLS fixtures
Kickoff times: Europe/Belgrade
After Tue, 27 Oct 2026 · 14 matches
Inter Miami – FC Cincinnati30 Oct 00:30Over 2.5Model 83.1%Implied 82.0%▲ +1.1%- Chicago Fire – Orlando City29 Oct 01:30Over 2.5Model 76.0%Implied 77.5%-1.5%
- Minnesota United – Sporting Kansas City29 Oct 01:30Over 2.5Model 72.4%Implied 75.2%-2.8%
- St. Louis City – Portland Timbers29 Oct 01:30Over 2.5Model 67.6%Implied 71.9%-4.3%
- Vancouver Whitecaps – San Diego FC29 Oct 03:30Over 2.5Model 66.6%Implied 76.3%-9.7%
- FC Dallas – Columbus Crew29 Oct 01:30Over 2.5Model 64.6%Implied 67.1%-2.5%
- Charlotte – CF Montreal30 Oct 00:30Over 2.5Model 58.9%Implied 70.4%-11.5%
- San Jose Earthquakes – Colorado Rapids29 Oct 03:30Over 2.5Model 56.5%Implied 64.5%-8.0%
- Nashville SC – Philadelphia Union29 Oct 01:30Over 2.5Model 55.6%Implied 65.8%-10.2%
- Toronto FC – DC United30 Oct 00:30Over 2.5Model 54.5%Implied 65.8%-11.3%
- New England Revolution – New York Red Bulls30 Oct 00:30Over 2.5Model 52.9%Implied 70.9%-18.0%
- Austin FC – Real Salt Lake29 Oct 01:30Over 2.5Model 51.0%Implied 63.3%-12.3%
- New York City – Atlanta Utd30 Oct 00:30Over 2.5Model 50.4%Implied 63.3%-12.9%
- Seattle Sounders – Houston Dynamo29 Oct 03:30Over 2.5Model 40.9%Implied 61.7%-20.8%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter Miami– FC Cincinnati | 30 Oct | 00:30 | Over 2.5 | 83.1% | 82.0% | ▲ +1.1% | 1.22 |
| 2 |  Chicago Fire– Orlando City | 29 Oct | 01:30 | Over 2.5 | 76.0% | 77.5% | -1.5% | 1.29 |
| 3 |  Minnesota United– Sporting Kansas City | 29 Oct | 01:30 | Over 2.5 | 72.4% | 75.2% | -2.8% | 1.33 |
| 4 |  St. Louis City– Portland Timbers | 29 Oct | 01:30 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% | 71.9% | -4.3% | 1.39 |
| 5 |  Vancouver Whitecaps– San Diego FC | 29 Oct | 03:30 | Over 2.5 | 66.6% | 76.3% | -9.7% | 1.31 |
| 6 |  FC Dallas– Columbus Crew | 29 Oct | 01:30 | Over 2.5 | 64.6% | 67.1% | -2.5% | 1.49 |
| 7 |  Charlotte– CF Montreal | 30 Oct | 00:30 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 70.4% | -11.5% | 1.42 |
| 8 |  San Jose Earthquakes– Colorado Rapids | 29 Oct | 03:30 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 64.5% | -8.0% | 1.55 |
| 9 |  Nashville SC– Philadelphia Union | 29 Oct | 01:30 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 65.8% | -10.2% | 1.52 |
| 10 |  Toronto FC– DC United | 30 Oct | 00:30 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 65.8% | -11.3% | 1.52 |
| 11 |  New England Revolution– New York Red Bulls | 30 Oct | 00:30 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 70.9% | -18.0% | 1.41 |
| 12 |  Austin FC– Real Salt Lake | 29 Oct | 01:30 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 63.3% | -12.3% | 1.58 |
| 13 |  New York City– Atlanta Utd | 30 Oct | 00:30 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 63.3% | -12.9% | 1.58 |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders– Houston Dynamo | 29 Oct | 03:30 | Over 2.5 | 40.9% | 61.7% | -20.8% | 1.62 |
Model % is the pre-match estimated chance, not a live probability or a past hit rate.
Implied % comes from the odds. Divergence is the difference in percentage points.
Over 2.5 by team, 2026
How often each team's matches had three or more goals this season, highest first. Home and away: matches with three or more goals / matches played.
| Team | Played | Over 2.5 | % | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City | 31 | 25 | 81% | 12/16 | 13/15 |
| Orlando City | 31 | 24 | 77% | 11/16 | 13/15 |
| Chicago Fire | 31 | 23 | 74% | 12/15 | 11/16 |
| Inter Miami | 31 | 23 | 74% | 12/15 | 11/16 |
| Austin FC | 31 | 22 | 71% | 8/15 | 14/16 |
| Charlotte | 31 | 22 | 71% | 10/15 | 12/16 |
| Columbus Crew | 31 | 22 | 71% | 10/16 | 12/15 |
| FC Cincinnati | 31 | 22 | 71% | 10/15 | 12/16 |
| New England Revolution | 31 | 22 | 71% | 9/15 | 13/16 |
| Philadelphia Union | 31 | 22 | 71% | 10/16 | 12/15 |
| Portland Timbers | 31 | 22 | 71% | 13/16 | 9/15 |
| San Diego FC | 31 | 22 | 71% | 14/16 | 8/15 |
| FC Dallas | 31 | 21 | 68% | 9/15 | 12/16 |
| Real Salt Lake | 31 | 21 | 68% | 11/16 | 10/15 |
| Toronto FC | 31 | 21 | 68% | 12/16 | 9/15 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 21 | 66% | 9/16 | 12/16 |
| Atlanta Utd | 31 | 20 | 65% | 13/16 | 7/15 |
| Minnesota United | 31 | 20 | 65% | 7/15 | 13/16 |
| CF Montreal | 31 | 19 | 61% | 8/16 | 11/15 |
| DC United | 31 | 19 | 61% | 11/16 | 8/15 |
| Nashville SC | 31 | 18 | 58% | 12/15 | 6/16 |
| St. Louis City | 31 | 18 | 58% | 10/15 | 8/16 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 18 | 58% | 10/15 | 8/16 |
| New York Red Bulls | 31 | 17 | 55% | 8/16 | 9/15 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 17 | 55% | 9/15 | 8/16 |
| New York City | 31 | 16 | 52% | 9/15 | 7/16 |
| Los Angeles FC | 32 | 16 | 50% | 8/16 | 8/16 |
| Colorado Rapids | 31 | 14 | 45% | 6/16 | 8/15 |
| Seattle Sounders | 31 | 14 | 45% | 8/15 | 6/16 |
| Houston Dynamo | 31 | 13 | 42% | 6/16 | 7/15 |
Latest results
MLS matches in the 7 days to Mon, 26 Oct 2026, the newest result.
- 26 OctLos Angeles FC 2:2 Los Angeles GalaxyOver 2.5 yes
- 25 OctReal Salt Lake 3:0 St. Louis CityOver 2.5 yes
- 25 OctFC Dallas 3:0 San Jose EarthquakesOver 2.5 yes
- 25 OctHouston Dynamo 0:0 Minnesota UnitedOver 2.5 no
- 25 OctColorado Rapids 1:0 Vancouver WhitecapsOver 2.5 no
- 25 OctSporting Kansas City 1:2 Austin FCOver 2.5 yes
- 25 OctSan Diego FC 2:2 Seattle SoundersOver 2.5 yes
- 25 OctPortland Timbers 3:2 CharlotteOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctCF Montreal 0:2 Nashville SCOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctColumbus Crew 4:2 Toronto FCOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctNew York Red Bulls 2:0 Inter MiamiOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctOrlando City 2:2 New York CityOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctDC United 0:2 FC CincinnatiOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctPhiladelphia Union 1:2 New England RevolutionOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctAtlanta Utd 2:3 Chicago FireOver 2.5 yes
- 21 OctFC Cincinnati 2:1 DC UnitedOver 2.5 yes
MLS table, fixtures and season projection →
Over 2.5 Goals: by day
Over 2.5 Goals: by league
These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.