Bundesliga: Over 2.5 Goals predictions and stats
Bundesliga 2026/27 so far: 45 of 63 matches (71%) had three or more goals (results to 25 Oct).
Three or more total goals at full-time. Matches ranked by model probability.
Upcoming Bundesliga fixtures
Kickoff times: Europe/Belgrade
After Tue, 27 Oct 2026 · 5 matches
Bayern Munich – Dortmund31 Oct 18:30Over 2.5Model 72.3%Implied 82.0%-9.7%- Bayer Leverkusen – Stuttgart31 Oct 15:30Over 2.5Model 68.8%Implied 76.9%-8.1%
- Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim31 Oct 15:30Over 2.5Model 66.7%Implied 71.4%-4.7%
- Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburger SV1 Nov 17:30Over 2.5Model 61.3%Implied 70.4%-9.2%
- Augsburg – Freiburg31 Oct 15:30Over 2.5Model 58.4%Implied 68.0%-9.6%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich– Dortmund | 31 Oct | 18:30 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% | 82.0% | -9.7% | 1.22 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen– Stuttgart | 31 Oct | 15:30 | Over 2.5 | 68.8% | 76.9% | -8.1% | 1.30 |
| 3 |  Werder Bremen– Hoffenheim | 31 Oct | 15:30 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% | 71.4% | -4.7% | 1.40 |
| 4 |  Eintracht Frankfurt– Hamburger SV | 1 Nov | 17:30 | Over 2.5 | 61.3% | 70.4% | -9.2% | 1.42 |
| 5 |  Augsburg– Freiburg | 31 Oct | 15:30 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 68.0% | -9.6% | 1.47 |
Model % is the pre-match estimated chance, not a live probability or a past hit rate.
Implied % comes from the odds. Divergence is the difference in percentage points.
Over 2.5 by team, 2026/27
How often each team's matches had three or more goals this season, highest first. Home and away: matches with three or more goals / matches played.
| Team | Played | Over 2.5 | % | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Monchengladbach | 7 | 7 | 100% | 3/3 | 4/4 |
| Hoffenheim | 7 | 7 | 100% | 4/4 | 3/3 |
| Augsburg | 7 | 6 | 86% | 3/4 | 3/3 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 6 | 86% | 2/3 | 4/4 |
| Bayern Munich | 7 | 6 | 86% | 3/3 | 3/4 |
| Freiburg | 7 | 6 | 86% | 4/4 | 2/3 |
| RB Leipzig | 7 | 6 | 86% | 4/4 | 2/3 |
| Werder Bremen | 7 | 6 | 86% | 3/3 | 3/4 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 5 | 71% | 2/3 | 3/4 |
| Elversberg | 7 | 5 | 71% | 3/3 | 2/4 |
| Mainz | 7 | 5 | 71% | 3/4 | 2/3 |
| FC Koln | 7 | 4 | 57% | 2/4 | 2/3 |
| Hamburger SV | 7 | 4 | 57% | 2/3 | 2/4 |
| Stuttgart | 7 | 4 | 57% | 2/3 | 2/4 |
| Union Berlin | 7 | 4 | 57% | 2/4 | 2/3 |
| Dortmund | 7 | 3 | 43% | 2/4 | 1/3 |
| Paderborn | 7 | 3 | 43% | 1/4 | 2/3 |
| Schalke | 7 | 3 | 43% | 0/3 | 3/4 |
Latest results
Bundesliga matches in the 7 days to Sun, 25 Oct 2026, the newest result.
- 25 OctHoffenheim 3:0 Bayer LeverkusenOver 2.5 yes
- 25 OctFreiburg 1:3 Bayern MunichOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctPaderborn 1:0 Hamburger SVOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctFC Koln 0:0 SchalkeOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctAugsburg 1:1 Union BerlinOver 2.5 no
- 24 OctMainz 2:3 Werder BremenOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctRB Leipzig 4:0 ElversbergOver 2.5 yes
- 24 OctDortmund 1:0 Eintracht FrankfurtOver 2.5 no
- 23 OctStuttgart 2:3 B. MonchengladbachOver 2.5 yes
Bundesliga table, fixtures and season projection →
Over 2.5 Goals: by day
Over 2.5 Goals: by league
These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.