National Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Barnet | 46 | 74 | 59.8 | +14.2Outperforming ++ | 11 | +8.4 | +5.8 | 1:3 vs Bromley (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Oldham (-1.8) |
2 | Wrexham | 46 | 111 | 99.1 | +11.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +13.7 | -1.8 | 3:2 vs Notts Co (+1.5) | 3:1 vs FC Halifax (-2.2) |
3 | Notts Co | 46 | 107 | 97.6 | +9.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +3.8 | +5.7 | 1:0 vs Wrexham (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Dag & Red (-2.4) |
4 | Wealdstone | 46 | 60 | 50.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 20 | +7.0 | +2.1 | 1:2 vs Oldham (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Gateshead (-1.4) |
5 | Eastleigh | 46 | 67 | 59.1 | +7.9Outperforming ++ | 13 | +13.4 | -5.6 | 1:3 vs Southend (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Barnet (-1.5) |
6 | Woking | 46 | 82 | 74.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 4 | +0.2 | +6.9 | 1:3 vs Chesterfield (+1.9) | 0:1 vs FC Halifax (-2.0) |
7 | Bromley | 46 | 71 | 65.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 8 | +1.3 | +4.7 | 0:1 vs Southend (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Barnet (-1.9) |
8 | Dorking | 46 | 57 | 53.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 18 | +9.8 | -5.8 | 3:1 vs Notts Co (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Aldershot (-1.6) |
9 | Oldham | 46 | 61 | 57.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 15 | +6.7 | -3.4 | 0:1 vs Chesterfield (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Wealdstone (-1.9) |
10 | Dag & Red | 46 | 63 | 60.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 10 | +1.1 | +1.7 | 1:2 vs Notts Co (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Torquay (-1.9) |
11 | FC Halifax | 46 | 61 | 59.3 | +1.7On expectation | 12 | +5.6 | -3.9 | 3:1 vs Wrexham (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Scunthorpe (-2.0) |
12 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 72 | 70.4 | +1.6On expectation | 6 | -3.9 | +5.5 | 0:2 vs Altrincham (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Dag & Red (-2.1) |
13 | Aldershot | 46 | 53 | 52.4 | +0.6On expectation | 19 | -4.7 | +5.3 | 1:2 vs Southend (+2.2) | 6:1 vs Torquay (-1.6) |
14 | Chesterfield | 46 | 84 | 85.5 | -1.5On expectation | 3 | +0.5 | -2.0 | 2:0 vs Wrexham (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Oldham (-2.2) |
15 | Torquay | 46 | 48 | 50.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 22 | -3.4 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Boreham Wood (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Wealdstone (-1.5) |
16 | Gateshead | 46 | 60 | 62.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 9 | -5.7 | +2.7 | 3:1 vs Southend (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Wealdstone (-1.7) |
17 | Altrincham | 46 | 56 | 59.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 14 | +2.1 | -5.1 | 1:3 vs Gateshead (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Wealdstone (-1.8) |
18 | Southend | 46 | 69 | 72.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 5 | -0.0 | -3.3 | 0:2 vs Yeovil (+1.6) | 1:3 vs Eastleigh (-2.0) |
19 | Maidenhead | 46 | 50 | 54.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 17 | +2.1 | -6.1 | 1:2 vs Chesterfield (+2.4) | 3:1 vs Dorking (-1.4) |
20 | York City | 46 | 51 | 57.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 16 | -4.8 | -1.9 | 1:3 vs Chesterfield (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Gateshead (-1.7) |
21 | Yeovil | 46 | 40 | 50.4 | -10.4Underperforming −− | 21 | -2.9 | -7.5 | 0:2 vs Dag & Red (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Aldershot (-1.6) |
22 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 58 | 69.3 | -11.3Underperforming −− | 7 | -3.8 | -7.5 | 2:0 vs Boreham Wood (+1.7) | 0:1 vs FC Halifax (-1.9) |
23 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 34 | 49.1 | -15.1Underperforming −− | 23 | -3.6 | -11.5 | 0:1 vs FC Halifax (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Torquay (-1.7) |
24 | Maidstone | 46 | 25 | 47.3 | -22.3Underperforming −− | 24 | -8.8 | -13.5 | 0:2 vs Scunthorpe (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Aldershot (-1.5) |
