Superettan

We simulate the remaining Superettan schedule 10,000 times a day. Norrkoping win the 2026 title in >99% of them, projecting ~67 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Sundsvall finish in the bottom three in >99% of simulations.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Norrkoping	51	67	63–70	>99%	>99%	—
2	Falkenberg	41	53	49–57	<1%	95%	—
3	Varberg	38	49	45–54	<1%	73%	—
4	Ostersund	39	47	43–51	<1%	41%	—
5	Nordic United	35	46	41–50	—	25%	—
· · ·
14	Brage	22	31	27–35	—	—	46%
15	Orebro	23	30	26–34	—	—	63%
16	Sundsvall	16	22	18–26	—	—	>99%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 56 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/sweden/superettan/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Superettan live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/sweden/superettan">Superettan stats by Football Charts</a></p>

What blindly backing each market in every Superettan match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.