Fastest starters
Sandviken28%
7 of their 25 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Orebro38%
5 of their 13 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Falkenberg are 2026 champions — 31 pts
Their xPTS said 23.0: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+9.3uBlindly backing over 2.5 goals in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-11.4 ptsVarnamo produced performances worth 11 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
40%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 29.7' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Superettan match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkenberg | 31 | 23.0 | +8.0 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | Varberg | 30 | 25.0 | +5.0 | |
| 3 | Norrkoping | 29 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+