Superettanhub →Superettan 2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Vasteras SK | 30 | 65 | 54.2 | +10.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.4 | +4.4 | 1:5 vs Oddevold (+1.6) | 3:1 vs Brage (-1.7) |
2 | Oddevold | 30 | 48 | 38.6 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 11 | -1.1 | +10.4 | 0:2 vs Sandviken (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Sundsvall (-1.7) |
3 | Orgryte | 30 | 56 | 48.3 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.9 | +3.9 | 2:3 vs Kalmar (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Helsingborg (-1.7) |
4 | Kalmar | 30 | 64 | 57.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 1 | +6.1 | +0.6 | 0:2 vs Orgryte (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Falkenberg (-2.2) |
5 | Sundsvall | 30 | 40 | 34.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 14 | -2.3 | +8.2 | 0:2 vs Varberg (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Brage (-1.5) |
6 | Falkenberg | 30 | 46 | 41.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 7 | +5.4 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Kalmar (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Brage (-1.7) |
7 | Brage | 30 | 41 | 39.1 | +1.9On expectation | 10 | -4.6 | +6.5 | 0:1 vs Trelleborg (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Falkenberg (-1.8) |
8 | Sandviken | 30 | 41 | 39.1 | +1.9On expectation | 9 | +0.8 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Helsingborg (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Sundsvall (-1.7) |
9 | Landskrona | 30 | 41 | 41.7 | -0.7On expectation | 6 | -0.7 | +0.0 | 1:2 vs Orebro (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Umea FC (-1.9) |
10 | Varberg | 30 | 43 | 44.3 | -1.3On expectation | 4 | +1.2 | -2.5 | 0:4 vs Trelleborg (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Sundsvall (-1.8) |
11 | Ostersund | 30 | 36 | 38.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 12 | +2.9 | -4.9 | 0:1 vs Trelleborg (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Sundsvall (-1.6) |
12 | Helsingborg | 30 | 41 | 43.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 5 | -2.5 | +0.1 | 0:2 vs Orgryte (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Sandviken (-1.7) |
13 | Utsikten | 30 | 30 | 33.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 15 | +4.4 | -7.6 | 3:1 vs Trelleborg (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Oddevold (-1.4) |
14 | Umea FC | 30 | 19 | 28.6 | -9.6Underperforming −− | 16 | -9.7 | +0.1 | 1:3 vs Landskrona (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Sandviken (-1.3) |
15 | Orebro | 30 | 22 | 37.4 | -15.4Underperforming −− | 13 | -6.0 | -9.3 | 4:5 vs Brage (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Landskrona (-1.7) |
16 | Trelleborg | 30 | 22 | 39.6 | -17.6Underperforming −− | 8 | -7.3 | -10.3 | 1:2 vs Landskrona (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Umea FC (-1.9) |