Superettan 2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Utsikten | 30 | 55 | 43.9 | +11.1Outperforming ++ | 5 | +6.0 | +5.0 | 0:1 vs Oster (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Trelleborg (-1.9) |
2 | Vasteras SK | 30 | 63 | 52.0 | +10.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.7 | +6.3 | 0:2 vs GAIS (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Ostersund (-2.0) |
3 | Gefle | 30 | 37 | 29.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 16 | +7.3 | +0.3 | 1:2 vs Oster (+2.6) | 1:3 vs Sundsvall (-1.2) |
4 | Trelleborg | 30 | 39 | 36.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 12 | +0.1 | +2.4 | 2:3 vs Utsikten (+2.1) | 3:4 vs Sundsvall (-1.7) |
5 | Ostersund | 30 | 42 | 40.0 | +2.0On expectation | 8 | +0.9 | +1.1 | 0:2 vs Vasteras SK (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Utsikten (-1.6) |
6 | GAIS | 30 | 57 | 56.0 | +1.0On expectation | 1 | -1.4 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Oster (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Jonkoping (-2.0) |
7 | Oster | 30 | 54 | 53.3 | +0.7On expectation | 2 | -0.7 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Helsingborg (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Gefle (-2.4) |
8 | Sundsvall | 30 | 35 | 34.5 | +0.5On expectation | 14 | -0.9 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Orebro (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Ostersund (-1.5) |
9 | Landskrona | 30 | 39 | 38.7 | +0.3On expectation | 10 | -0.0 | +0.4 | 2:1 vs GAIS (+2.0) | 1:2 vs AFC Eskilstuna (-1.8) |
10 | Skovde AIK | 30 | 33 | 33.0 | -0.1On expectation | 15 | +8.3 | -8.3 | 1:2 vs Orgryte (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Trelleborg (-1.4) |
11 | Brage | 30 | 41 | 42.6 | -1.6On expectation | 6 | +8.2 | -9.8 | 0:2 vs Orebro (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Gefle (-1.6) |
12 | AFC Eskilstuna | 30 | 31 | 35.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 13 | -0.2 | -3.8 | 1:2 vs Landskrona (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Sundsvall (-1.6) |
13 | Jonkoping | 30 | 31 | 37.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 11 | +1.1 | -7.3 | 0:1 vs GAIS (+2.3) | 2:3 vs AFC Eskilstuna (-1.8) |
14 | Helsingborg | 30 | 33 | 39.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 9 | -2.3 | -4.5 | 1:2 vs Orgryte (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Trelleborg (-1.7) |
15 | Orgryte | 30 | 32 | 41.7 | -9.7Underperforming −− | 7 | -8.2 | -1.5 | 0:1 vs GAIS (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Skovde AIK (-2.0) |
16 | Orebro | 30 | 34 | 44.2 | -10.2Underperforming −− | 4 | +0.0 | -10.2 | 0:3 vs Orgryte (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Sundsvall (-1.9) |
