Superettan 2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Varnamo | 30 | 59 | 44.0 | +15.0Outperforming ++ | 4 | +11.0 | +4.0 | 0:3 vs Falkenberg (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Trelleborg (-1.6) |
2 | Sundsvall | 30 | 53 | 46.4 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.1 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs Helsingborg (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Orgryte (-1.9) |
3 | Landskrona | 30 | 44 | 38.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 13 | +13.2 | -7.4 | 1:3 vs GAIS (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Akropolis (-1.6) |
4 | Norrby | 30 | 48 | 44.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 3 | -1.6 | +5.4 | 0:2 vs Helsingborg (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Akropolis (-2.0) |
5 | Oster | 30 | 46 | 42.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 7 | +4.9 | -1.5 | 0:1 vs Helsingborg (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Brage (-1.7) |
6 | Orgryte | 30 | 41 | 39.3 | +1.8On expectation | 11 | -1.0 | +2.7 | 0:1 vs Sundsvall (+2.1) | 2:1 vs GAIS (-1.5) |
7 | AFC Eskilstuna | 30 | 40 | 38.9 | +1.1On expectation | 12 | +6.0 | -4.9 | 2:0 vs Sundsvall (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Vasalund (-1.8) |
8 | Akropolis | 30 | 35 | 34.3 | +0.7On expectation | 15 | +3.1 | -2.4 | 0:1 vs Norrby (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Oster (-1.6) |
9 | Trelleborg | 30 | 43 | 43.6 | -0.6On expectation | 5 | +2.2 | -2.8 | 0:1 vs Varnamo (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Vasalund (-2.2) |
10 | Helsingborg | 30 | 48 | 48.8 | -0.8On expectation | 1 | -3.1 | +2.3 | 0:4 vs Vasteras SK (+1.7) | 0:1 vs GAIS (-2.1) |
11 | GAIS | 30 | 34 | 35.7 | -1.7On expectation | 14 | -3.0 | +1.3 | 0:1 vs Helsingborg (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Landskrona (-1.6) |
12 | Brage | 30 | 39 | 40.9 | -1.9On expectation | 10 | -1.3 | -0.6 | 1:2 vs Oster (+2.0) | 1:4 vs GAIS (-1.7) |
13 | Jonkoping | 30 | 38 | 41.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 8 | +0.8 | -4.3 | 1:2 vs Sundsvall (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Norrby (-1.6) |
14 | Vasalund | 30 | 26 | 31.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 16 | -2.9 | -3.0 | 1:2 vs Trelleborg (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Akropolis (-1.6) |
15 | Vasteras SK | 30 | 36 | 43.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -5.3 | -1.9 | 0:1 vs Trelleborg (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Akropolis (-1.7) |
16 | Falkenberg | 30 | 25 | 40.9 | -15.9Underperforming −− | 9 | -8.0 | -7.8 | 1:3 vs Vasteras SK (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Vasalund (-1.8) |
