Superettan 2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Orgryte | 30 | 44 | 37.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 12 | +3.2 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Helsingborg (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Trelleborg (-1.5) |
2 | Degerfors | 30 | 55 | 49.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.5 | +3.3 | 0:1 vs Brage (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Orebro (-1.9) |
3 | Trelleborg | 30 | 42 | 37.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 13 | +3.6 | +1.3 | 0:3 vs Helsingborg (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Oddevold (-1.6) |
4 | Utsikten | 30 | 41 | 38.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 11 | +5.8 | -3.0 | 3:0 vs Landskrona (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Varberg (-1.6) |
5 | Helsingborg | 30 | 47 | 45.3 | +1.8On expectation | 6 | -4.8 | +6.5 | 0:1 vs Landskrona (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Skovde AIK (-2.0) |
6 | Landskrona | 30 | 49 | 47.3 | +1.7On expectation | 4 | +1.1 | +0.6 | 1:3 vs Degerfors (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Gefle (-2.1) |
7 | Sundsvall | 30 | 34 | 33.0 | +1.0On expectation | 14 | +2.0 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Sandviken (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Helsingborg (-1.3) |
8 | Varberg | 30 | 39 | 38.5 | +0.5On expectation | 10 | -1.7 | +2.2 | 3:4 vs Oster (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Orgryte (-1.6) |
9 | Gefle | 30 | 32 | 32.1 | -0.1On expectation | 15 | +3.4 | -3.5 | 0:2 vs Landskrona (+2.3) | 0:4 vs Varberg (-1.6) |
10 | Oster | 30 | 54 | 55.8 | -1.8On expectation | 1 | +0.1 | -1.9 | 1:2 vs Degerfors (+1.5) | 3:4 vs Varberg (-2.2) |
11 | Skovde AIK | 30 | 25 | 26.9 | -1.9On expectation | 16 | -2.2 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs Helsingborg (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Gefle (-1.4) |
12 | Orebro | 30 | 39 | 41.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 8 | +4.9 | -7.2 | 1:2 vs Degerfors (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Skovde AIK (-1.9) |
13 | Sandviken | 30 | 43 | 45.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 5 | +2.9 | -5.4 | 1:0 vs Oster (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Sundsvall (-2.0) |
14 | Oddevold | 30 | 36 | 41.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 9 | -4.1 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs Trelleborg (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Trelleborg (-1.7) |
15 | Brage | 30 | 41 | 47.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 3 | -2.8 | -3.8 | 0:2 vs Oster (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Orgryte (-1.9) |
16 | Ostersund | 30 | 32 | 41.9 | -9.9Underperforming −− | 7 | +1.3 | -11.2 | 1:2 vs Oddevold (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Sundsvall (-1.8) |
