Superettanhub →Superettan 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Norrkoping | 28 | 62 | 49.9 | +12.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +0.5 | +11.6 | 1:2 vs Oddevold (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Norrby (-2.1) |
2 | Falkenberg | 28 | 51 | 39.9 | +11.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | +5.9 | +5.2 | 1:4 vs Nordic United (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Helsingborg (-1.6) |
3 | Oster | 28 | 42 | 36.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 10 | +4.1 | +1.5 | 2:3 vs Ljungskile (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Falkenberg (-1.5) |
4 | Sandviken | 28 | 41 | 35.6 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 13 | +2.1 | +3.2 | 0:3 vs Ljungskile (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Oddevold (-1.7) |
5 | Ostersund | 28 | 48 | 42.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.1 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Varberg (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Norrkoping (-1.3) |
6 | Landskrona | 27 | 43 | 37.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 8 | -0.7 | +5.7 | 1:3 vs Norrkoping (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Helsingborg (-1.8) |
7 | Varberg | 27 | 46 | 41.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 4 | +2.3 | +2.5 | 2:4 vs Oddevold (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Landskrona (-1.7) |
8 | Nordic United | 28 | 39 | 35.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 12 | +1.8 | +1.4 | 0:2 vs Ljungskile (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Varnamo (-1.7) |
9 | Oddevold | 28 | 42 | 41.3 | +0.8On expectation | 3 | -1.2 | +2.0 | 0:1 vs Sandviken (+2.0) | 3:1 vs Oster (-1.6) |
10 | Helsingborg | 28 | 32 | 35.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 14 | -2.5 | -0.9 | 1:2 vs Landskrona (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Sandviken (-1.6) |
11 | Orebro | 28 | 29 | 35.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 11 | -3.5 | -3.4 | 2:1 vs Norrkoping (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Sundsvall (-1.7) |
12 | Norrby | 28 | 27 | 34.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.1 | -5.3 | 0:1 vs Norrkoping (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Sundsvall (-1.6) |
13 | Varnamo | 28 | 32 | 39.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 7 | -11.0 | +3.1 | 2:4 vs Nordic United (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Oster (-1.8) |
14 | Sundsvall | 28 | 19 | 26.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 16 | -2.8 | -5.1 | 0:1 vs Brage (+2.2) | 0:4 vs Oster (-1.4) |
15 | Ljungskile | 28 | 30 | 40.1 | -10.1Underperforming −− | 5 | -6.5 | -3.5 | 2:3 vs Varnamo (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Nordic United (-1.9) |
16 | Brage | 28 | 26 | 37.2 | -11.2Underperforming −− | 9 | -7.1 | -4.1 | 0:3 vs Orebro (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Sundsvall (-2.0) |