Superettan 2026 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Norrkoping	23	51	40.0	+11.1Outperforming ++	1	+1.9	+9.1	1:2 vs Oddevold (+1.8)	0:1 vs Norrby (-2.1)
2	Falkenberg	23	41	33.0	+8.0Outperforming ++	5	+4.7	+3.3	1:4 vs Nordic United (+1.8)	2:3 vs Helsingborg (-1.6)
3	Ostersund	23	39	34.0	+5.0Outperforming ++	3	+3.1	+2.0	1:2 vs Varberg (+1.9)	0:2 vs Norrkoping (-1.3)
4	Nordic United	23	35	30.8	+4.2Outperforming	10	+1.4	+2.8	0:2 vs Ljungskile (+2.1)	2:4 vs Varnamo (-1.7)
5	Sandviken	23	33	29.8	+3.3Outperforming	12	+0.7	+2.5	0:3 vs Ljungskile (+2.0)	0:1 vs Oddevold (-1.7)
6	Varberg	23	38	34.9	+3.1Outperforming	2	+2.1	+1.1	2:4 vs Oddevold (+1.8)	2:3 vs Landskrona (-1.7)
7	Landskrona	23	34	31.3	+2.7Outperforming	8	-2.6	+5.3	1:3 vs Norrkoping (+2.2)	1:2 vs Helsingborg (-1.8)
8	Oddevold	23	35	33.1	+1.9On expectation	4	-1.5	+3.4	0:1 vs Sandviken (+2.0)	1:2 vs Norrkoping (-1.5)
9	Oster	23	33	31.2	+1.8On expectation	9	+3.1	-1.3	2:3 vs Ljungskile (+2.0)	1:3 vs Falkenberg (-1.5)
10	Helsingborg	23	29	29.6	-0.6On expectation	13	-1.6	+1.0	1:2 vs Landskrona (+2.0)	0:2 vs Sandviken (-1.6)
11	Norrby	23	23	27.8	-4.8Underperforming	15	-1.2	-3.6	0:1 vs Norrkoping (+2.3)	1:0 vs Sundsvall (-1.6)
12	Varnamo	23	26	31.7	-5.7Underperforming −−	7	-6.0	+0.3	2:4 vs Nordic United (+1.9)	0:1 vs Orebro (-1.7)
13	Orebro	23	23	29.2	-6.2Underperforming −−	14	-3.9	-2.3	0:1 vs Varnamo (+1.9)	0:1 vs Sundsvall (-1.7)
14	Sundsvall	23	16	23.6	-7.6Underperforming −−	16	-4.0	-3.5	0:1 vs Brage (+2.2)	0:4 vs Oster (-1.4)
15	Ljungskile	23	25	32.9	-7.9Underperforming −−	6	-6.6	-1.3	2:3 vs Varnamo (+1.8)	0:2 vs Nordic United (-1.9)
16	Brage	23	22	30.5	-8.5Underperforming −−	11	-6.5	-2.0	0:3 vs Orebro (+1.7)	0:1 vs Sundsvall (-2.0)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Norrkoping	23	51	40.0	+11.1Outperforming ++	1	+1.9	+9.1	1:2 vs Oddevold (+1.8)	0:1 vs Norrby (-2.1)
2	Falkenberg	23	41	33.0	+8.0Outperforming ++	5	+4.7	+3.3	1:4 vs Nordic United (+1.8)	2:3 vs Helsingborg (-1.6)
3	Ostersund	23	39	34.0	+5.0Outperforming ++	3	+3.1	+2.0	1:2 vs Varberg (+1.9)	0:2 vs Norrkoping (-1.3)
4	Nordic United	23	35	30.8	+4.2Outperforming	10	+1.4	+2.8	0:2 vs Ljungskile (+2.1)	2:4 vs Varnamo (-1.7)
5	Sandviken	23	33	29.8	+3.3Outperforming	12	+0.7	+2.5	0:3 vs Ljungskile (+2.0)	0:1 vs Oddevold (-1.7)
6	Varberg	23	38	34.9	+3.1Outperforming	2	+2.1	+1.1	2:4 vs Oddevold (+1.8)	2:3 vs Landskrona (-1.7)
7	Landskrona	23	34	31.3	+2.7Outperforming	8	-2.6	+5.3	1:3 vs Norrkoping (+2.2)	1:2 vs Helsingborg (-1.8)
8	Oddevold	23	35	33.1	+1.9On expectation	4	-1.5	+3.4	0:1 vs Sandviken (+2.0)	1:2 vs Norrkoping (-1.5)
9	Oster	23	33	31.2	+1.8On expectation	9	+3.1	-1.3	2:3 vs Ljungskile (+2.0)	1:3 vs Falkenberg (-1.5)
10	Helsingborg	23	29	29.6	-0.6On expectation	13	-1.6	+1.0	1:2 vs Landskrona (+2.0)	0:2 vs Sandviken (-1.6)
11	Norrby	23	23	27.8	-4.8Underperforming	15	-1.2	-3.6	0:1 vs Norrkoping (+2.3)	1:0 vs Sundsvall (-1.6)
12	Varnamo	23	26	31.7	-5.7Underperforming −−	7	-6.0	+0.3	2:4 vs Nordic United (+1.9)	0:1 vs Orebro (-1.7)
13	Orebro	23	23	29.2	-6.2Underperforming −−	14	-3.9	-2.3	0:1 vs Varnamo (+1.9)	0:1 vs Sundsvall (-1.7)
14	Sundsvall	23	16	23.6	-7.6Underperforming −−	16	-4.0	-3.5	0:1 vs Brage (+2.2)	0:4 vs Oster (-1.4)
15	Ljungskile	23	25	32.9	-7.9Underperforming −−	6	-6.6	-1.3	2:3 vs Varnamo (+1.8)	0:2 vs Nordic United (-1.9)
16	Brage	23	22	30.5	-8.5Underperforming −−	11	-6.5	-2.0	0:3 vs Orebro (+1.7)	0:1 vs Sundsvall (-2.0)