Juventus U23 vs Pro Vercelli
Serie C - Group A, Italy · 2026-11-02 · 20:30 CET
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DWLLWThe score model makes a Juventus U23 win the most likely outcome at 40%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 46%). The data's biggest gap to the market: HT under 1.5 goals — 76.1% vs 63.5% implied (+12.5 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Juventus U23 1.35 – 1.15 Pro Vercelli.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus U23 win | 40.3% | 52.0% | -11.6% |
| Draw | 28.5% | 26.1% | +2.4% |
| Pro Vercelli win | 31.1% | 22.0% | +9.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.7% | 51.2% | -5.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.3% | 31.3% | -7.0% |
| Both teams to score | 51.5% | 53.3% | -1.7% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 61.9% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 23.9% | 36.5% | -12.5% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Juventus U23 12.4 / Pro Vercelli 49.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Juventus U23 vs Pro Vercelli in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.