Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctThe season in numbers
Draws paid out more than the market charged: +12.2% at market prices across 110 matches. 1 other market also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
Renate produced performances worth 10 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 31.3' on average.
Add Serie C - Group A fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctWe simulate the remaining Serie C - Group A schedule 10,000 times a day. Brescia win the 2026-2027 title in 42% of them, projecting ~72 points; Cittadella are next at 36%. At the other end, Folgore Caratese finish in the bottom three in 72% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brescia | 22 | 72 | 64–80 | 42% | 94% | — |
| 2 | Cittadella | 27 | 71 | 63–80 | 36% | 92% | — |
| 3 | Trento | 23 | 67 | 59–76 | 16% | 80% | — |
| 4 | Treviso | 19 | 61 | 53–69 | 3% | 43% | <1% |
| 5 | Arzignano | 20 | 59 | 50–67 | 2% | 30% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 10 | 39 | 31–48 | — | <1% | 45% |
| 19 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 10 | 38 | 30–46 | — | — | 55% |
| 20 | Folgore Caratese | 7 | 35 | 27–43 | — | — | 72% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 270 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/italy/serie-c-group-a/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Serie C - Group A live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/italy/serie-c-group-a">Serie C - Group A stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Serie C - Group A match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 27 | 18.7 | +8.3 | outperformed expectations |
| 2 | Trento | 23 | 18.6 | +4.4 | |
| 3 | Brescia | 22 | 21.6 | +0.4 | |
| 4 | Arzignano | 20 | 15.1 | +4.9 | |
| 5 | Treviso | 19 | 16.3 | +2.7 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 10 | 14.7 | -4.7 | |
| 19 | Folgore Caratese | 7 | 13.8 | -6.8 | |
| 20 | Renate | 5 | 15.4 | -10.4 | underperformed expectations |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Cittadella27 pts
Trento23 pts
Brescia22 pts
Arzignano20 ptsTreviso19 pts
Ospitaletto18 pts
Pergolettese17 pts
Alcione Milano15 pts
Lecco14 pts
AlbinoLeffe14 ptsDesenzano13 pts
Lumezzane12 ptsCarpi12 pts
Pro Vercelli12 pts
Giana Erminio11 pts
Novara10 pts
Dolomiti Bellunesi10 ptsJuventus U2310 ptsFolgore Caratese7 pts
Renate5 ptsGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
