Serie C - Group Ahub →Serie C - Group A 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cittadella | 8 | 21 | 14.3 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.3 | +4.5 | 0:1 vs Ospitaletto (+1.6) | 1:2 vs AlbinoLeffe (-2.0) |
2 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 15 | 11.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 5 | +2.5 | +1.1 | 0:2 vs Novara (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Cittadella (-1.3) |
3 | Arzignano | 8 | 14 | 11.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 6 | +0.7 | +1.9 | 1:2 vs AlbinoLeffe (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Desenzano (-1.5) |
4 | Treviso | 8 | 13 | 11.3 | +1.7On expectation | 7 | +0.9 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs Renate (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Trento (-0.9) |
5 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 12 | 10.6 | +1.4On expectation | 10 | -4.0 | +5.4 | 1:2 vs Cittadella (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Carpi (-1.6) |
6 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 11 | 9.6 | +1.4On expectation | 14 | +0.4 | +1.0 | 3:1 vs Renate (+1.8) | 0:4 vs Brescia (-0.9) |
7 | Desenzano | 8 | 10 | 8.9 | +1.1On expectation | 18 | -1.9 | +3.0 | 1:2 vs Folgore Caratese (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Lecco (-1.4) |
8 | Trento | 8 | 14 | 13.1 | +0.9On expectation | 3 | +3.5 | -2.5 | 1:0 vs Lecco (+1.3) | 0:0 vs Pergolettese (-0.7) |
9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 10 | 9.4 | +0.6On expectation | 15 | -3.4 | +4.1 | 1:2 vs Folgore Caratese (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Lumezzane (-1.5) |
10 | Pergolettese | 8 | 8 | 7.6 | +0.4On expectation | 20 | -1.0 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Novara (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Cittadella (-0.7) |
11 | Brescia | 8 | 16 | 15.9 | +0.1On expectation | 1 | -0.6 | +0.7 | 0:4 vs Alcione Milano (+1.1) | 1:1 vs Dolomiti Bellunesi (-1.3) |
12 | Lumezzane | 7 | 8 | 8.9 | -0.9On expectation | 17 | -0.6 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Dolomiti Bellunesi (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Folgore Caratese (-1.5) |
13 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 9 | 10.0 | -1.0On expectation | 12 | +1.9 | -2.9 | 2:0 vs Carpi (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Arzignano (-1.1) |
14 | Lecco | 8 | 9 | 10.4 | -1.4On expectation | 11 | +0.0 | -1.4 | 1:3 vs Desenzano (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Treviso (-1.1) |
15 | Carpi | 8 | 6 | 8.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 19 | -2.9 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs AlbinoLeffe (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Arzignano (-1.2) |
16 | Novara | 8 | 9 | 11.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 4 | -4.5 | +1.6 | 1:2 vs Renate (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Pergolettese (-1.8) |
17 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 6 | 9.3 | -3.4Underperforming | 16 | -0.8 | -2.6 | 1:0 vs Novara (+1.5) | 3:5 vs AlbinoLeffe (-1.5) |
18 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 6 | 10.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 9 | -5.1 | +0.2 | 1:2 vs Lumezzane (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Dolomiti Bellunesi (-1.6) |
19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 4 | 9.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 13 | -3.5 | -2.2 | 0:0 vs Treviso (+0.1) | 1:2 vs Dolomiti Bellunesi (-1.5) |
20 | Renate | 8 | 3 | 11.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 8 | -4.8 | -3.2 | 1:1 vs Ospitaletto (+-0.1) | 1:2 vs Novara (-1.5) |