Serie C - Group Ahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 60 | 45.1 | +14.9Outperforming ++ | 18 | +4.2 | +10.7 | 3:4 vs Renate (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Pergolettese (-1.5) |
2 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 58 | 46.6 | +11.4Outperforming ++ | 16 | -0.2 | +11.6 | 0:2 vs L.R. Vicenza (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Piacenza (-1.5) |
3 | Lecco | 38 | 62 | 50.6 | +11.4Outperforming ++ | 7 | +12.9 | -1.5 | 1:2 vs Novara (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Pro Sesto (-1.7) |
4 | FeralpiSalo | 38 | 71 | 59.7 | +11.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +3.0 | +8.2 | 0:1 vs L.R. Vicenza (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Pro Patria (-2.2) |
5 | Arzignano | 38 | 53 | 47.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 13 | -2.8 | +7.9 | 2:3 vs L.R. Vicenza (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Renate (-1.7) |
6 | Pro Patria | 38 | 50 | 45.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 19 | +0.7 | +4.2 | 0:1 vs FeralpiSalo (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Trento (-1.6) |
7 | Pergolettese | 38 | 51 | 46.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 15 | +4.3 | +0.0 | 0:3 vs Padova (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Pro Sesto (-1.6) |
8 | Renate | 38 | 53 | 50.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 8 | +0.1 | +2.5 | 2:3 vs Arzignano (+2.0) | 3:4 vs Pro Sesto (-1.9) |
9 | Juventus U23 | 38 | 49 | 48.9 | +0.1On expectation | 11 | +3.9 | -3.8 | 2:1 vs L.R. Vicenza (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Lecco (-1.6) |
10 | Trento | 38 | 46 | 46.9 | -0.9On expectation | 14 | -5.1 | +4.2 | 1:2 vs Lecco (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Sangiuliano City (-1.7) |
11 | Mantova | 38 | 45 | 46.0 | -0.9On expectation | 17 | +1.7 | -2.6 | 1:3 vs Renate (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Piacenza (-1.5) |
12 | Padova | 38 | 59 | 60.1 | -1.1On expectation | 3 | -4.9 | +3.7 | 0:1 vs Pordenone (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Pergolettese (-1.9) |
13 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 46 | 49.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 9 | -5.4 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs Pordenone (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Pro Sesto (-1.7) |
14 | Pordenone | 38 | 62 | 66.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 1 | -1.9 | -2.3 | 0:2 vs Triestina (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Pro Vercelli (-2.1) |
15 | Piacenza | 38 | 38 | 44.4 | -6.4Underperforming −− | 20 | -3.3 | -3.1 | 0:1 vs FeralpiSalo (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Arzignano (-1.6) |
16 | Novara | 38 | 52 | 58.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 5 | -1.5 | -5.0 | 1:2 vs L.R. Vicenza (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Pro Sesto (-1.9) |
17 | Sangiuliano City | 38 | 42 | 49.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 10 | -2.1 | -5.0 | 1:3 vs L.R. Vicenza (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Pro Patria (-2.0) |
18 | L.R. Vicenza | 38 | 58 | 65.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 2 | -3.6 | -4.3 | 2:1 vs Pordenone (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Sangiuliano City (-2.2) |
19 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 38 | 48.9 | -10.9Underperforming −− | 12 | -11.1 | +0.2 | 1:2 vs Novara (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Pro Patria (-1.6) |
20 | Triestina | 38 | 39 | 50.8 | -11.8Underperforming −− | 6 | -4.2 | -7.5 | 0:1 vs AlbinoLeffe (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Pro Sesto (-1.6) |
