Serie C - Group Ahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | L.R. Vicenza | 38 | 89 | 75.9 | +13.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +4.0 | +9.2 | 0:1 vs Cittadella (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Alcione Milano (-2.2) |
2 | Renate | 38 | 64 | 52.0 | +12.0Outperforming ++ | 8 | +3.2 | +8.8 | 1:2 vs Brescia (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Ospitaletto (-1.6) |
3 | Lumezzane | 38 | 56 | 46.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 15 | +3.5 | +6.4 | 0:1 vs Brescia (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Arzignano (-1.5) |
4 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 55 | 46.7 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 13 | +5.3 | +2.9 | 0:1 vs Brescia (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Virtus Verona (-1.7) |
5 | Lecco | 38 | 64 | 55.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 5 | +1.3 | +6.8 | 2:0 vs L.R. Vicenza (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Pergolettese (-2.1) |
6 | Trento | 38 | 63 | 57.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 4 | +1.0 | +4.2 | 2:3 vs L.R. Vicenza (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Inter U23 (-1.5) |
7 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 52 | 49.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 11 | +0.7 | +2.0 | 0:2 vs Cittadella (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Virtus Verona (-1.7) |
8 | Arzignano | 38 | 53 | 50.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 9 | -3.4 | +6.0 | 1:2 vs Brescia (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Ospitaletto (-1.5) |
9 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 50 | 48.9 | +1.1On expectation | 12 | +2.7 | -1.6 | 0:1 vs Cittadella (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Lumezzane (-1.5) |
10 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 40 | 40.6 | -0.6On expectation | 19 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs Inter U23 (+2.3) | 2:4 vs Pro Patria (-1.7) |
11 | Cittadella | 38 | 59 | 60.3 | -1.3On expectation | 3 | -2.7 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Novara (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Lumezzane (-2.0) |
12 | Brescia | 38 | 69 | 70.4 | -1.4On expectation | 2 | -3.1 | +1.8 | 0:2 vs Trento (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Lumezzane (-2.3) |
13 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 45 | 46.4 | -1.4On expectation | 14 | +2.8 | -4.1 | 0:3 vs Novara (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Lumezzane (-1.5) |
14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 46 | 50.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 10 | -0.1 | -3.9 | 0:2 vs Lecco (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Virtus Verona (-1.7) |
15 | Pergolettese | 38 | 41 | 45.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 17 | -1.6 | -3.1 | 3:0 vs Lecco (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Alcione Milano (-1.8) |
16 | Novara | 38 | 47 | 53.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 7 | -5.8 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs Triestina (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Lumezzane (-1.9) |
17 | Inter U23 | 38 | 48 | 55.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -13.3 | +6.1 | 0:2 vs Lecco (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Dolomiti Bellunesi (-2.0) |
18 | Triestina | 38 | 36 | 46.1 | -10.1Underperforming −− | 16 | +2.1 | -12.2 | 4:1 vs Inter U23 (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Dolomiti Bellunesi (-1.7) |
19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 23 | 37.7 | -14.7Underperforming −− | 20 | -8.9 | -5.8 | 1:0 vs Cittadella (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Dolomiti Bellunesi (-1.4) |
20 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 25 | 42.4 | -17.4Underperforming −− | 18 | -12.9 | -4.5 | 1:3 vs Giana Erminio (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Pro Patria (-1.7) |
