Serie C - Group Ahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Renate | 38 | 60 | 46.5 | +13.5Outperforming ++ | 12 | +3.8 | +9.7 | 3:2 vs Padova (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Virtus Verona (-1.7) |
2 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 56 | 43.3 | +12.7Outperforming ++ | 17 | +1.8 | +10.9 | 1:0 vs Padova (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Pro Patria (-1.5) |
3 | Padova | 38 | 86 | 75.9 | +10.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +8.0 | +2.1 | 1:0 vs L.R. Vicenza (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Virtus Verona (-2.1) |
4 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 47 | 38.8 | +8.2Outperforming ++ | 20 | +0.4 | +7.7 | 1:2 vs Atalanta U23 (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Pro Vercelli (-1.3) |
5 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 60 | 51.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 7 | +3.4 | +4.7 | 0:2 vs Giana Erminio (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Caldiero Terme (-1.7) |
6 | L.R. Vicenza | 38 | 83 | 75.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +11.4 | -3.7 | 1:0 vs FeralpiSalo (+1.3) | 2:1 vs Virtus Verona (-2.1) |
7 | FeralpiSalo | 38 | 72 | 64.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | +10.2 | -2.9 | 2:0 vs L.R. Vicenza (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Pergolettese (-2.2) |
8 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 57 | 49.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 10 | +2.8 | +4.3 | 0:1 vs Triestina (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Pro Vercelli (-1.6) |
9 | Trento | 38 | 57 | 52.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 6 | +6.2 | -1.9 | 3:1 vs L.R. Vicenza (+2.3) | 2:0 vs Caldiero Terme (-1.7) |
10 | Novara | 38 | 54 | 50.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 9 | +6.9 | -3.4 | 2:1 vs Padova (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Union Clodiense (-1.6) |
11 | Arzignano | 38 | 53 | 51.5 | +1.6On expectation | 8 | +0.8 | +0.8 | 1:3 vs Atalanta U23 (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Alcione Milano (-1.8) |
12 | Pergolettese | 38 | 42 | 45.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 14 | -3.9 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs FeralpiSalo (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Alcione Milano (-1.6) |
13 | Lumezzane | 38 | 42 | 45.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 13 | -6.2 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs Atalanta U23 (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Union Clodiense (-1.7) |
14 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 57 | 61.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 4 | -1.7 | -2.7 | 1:5 vs Triestina (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Alcione Milano (-2.0) |
15 | Lecco | 38 | 43 | 48.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 11 | +7.5 | -13.3 | 2:1 vs Pro Vercelli (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Renate (-1.6) |
16 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 37 | 44.4 | -7.4Underperforming −− | 16 | -1.0 | -6.4 | 1:0 vs FeralpiSalo (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Renate (-1.6) |
17 | Caldiero Terme | 38 | 33 | 41.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 18 | -3.2 | -5.2 | 0:1 vs Triestina (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Alcione Milano (-1.7) |
18 | Pro Patria | 38 | 34 | 44.8 | -10.8Underperforming −− | 15 | -4.0 | -6.8 | 1:2 vs Union Clodiense (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Renate (-1.5) |
19 | Triestina | 38 | 44 | 57.8 | -13.8Underperforming −− | 5 | -6.9 | -6.9 | 2:0 vs L.R. Vicenza (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Caldiero Terme (-2.0) |
20 | Union Clodiense | 38 | 21 | 39.1 | -18.1Underperforming −− | 19 | -8.0 | -10.0 | 0:2 vs Lumezzane (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Alcione Milano (-1.6) |
