Serie C - Group Ahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Como | 38 | 75 | 57.8 | +17.2Outperforming ++ | 4 | +8.1 | +9.1 | 0:5 vs Novara (+1.9) | 1:2 vs AlbinoLeffe (-1.9) |
2 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 57 | 48.6 | +8.4Outperforming ++ | 11 | -2.7 | +11.1 | 1:2 vs Como (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Giana Erminio (-1.5) |
3 | Pro Patria | 38 | 61 | 53.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 9 | -1.3 | +9.3 | 0:1 vs Alessandria (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Pergolettese (-1.8) |
4 | Grosseto | 38 | 54 | 47.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 14 | -0.8 | +7.3 | 0:1 vs Alessandria (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Pistoiese (-1.7) |
5 | Renate | 38 | 65 | 59.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 3 | +5.9 | -0.3 | 0:2 vs Carrarese (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Olbia (-1.8) |
6 | Pontedera | 38 | 55 | 49.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 10 | +2.9 | +2.5 | 1:2 vs Novara (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Lucchese (-1.8) |
7 | Alessandria | 38 | 68 | 62.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +5.3 | +0.0 | 0:1 vs Pro Vercelli (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Pro Patria (-1.7) |
8 | Lecco | 38 | 60 | 55.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 7 | +4.8 | -0.2 | 1:3 vs Pro Vercelli (+2.0) | 2:4 vs Piacenza (-1.8) |
9 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 63 | 62.0 | +1.1On expectation | 2 | -1.2 | +2.3 | 0:2 vs Juventus U23 (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Livorno (-1.9) |
10 | Piacenza | 38 | 49 | 48.3 | +0.7On expectation | 12 | -0.8 | +1.5 | 2:4 vs Lecco (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Lucchese (-1.6) |
11 | Olbia | 38 | 47 | 47.3 | -0.3On expectation | 15 | +0.5 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs Renate (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Pontedera (-1.5) |
12 | Pergolettese | 38 | 44 | 44.5 | -0.5On expectation | 18 | -2.3 | +1.8 | 2:4 vs Juventus U23 (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Lucchese (-1.7) |
13 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 43 | 44.1 | -1.1On expectation | 19 | -6.5 | +5.4 | 0:2 vs Pro Vercelli (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Pontedera (-1.4) |
14 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 44 | 45.9 | -1.9On expectation | 16 | +3.5 | -5.3 | 0:2 vs Carrarese (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Pontedera (-1.6) |
15 | Juventus U23 | 38 | 52 | 54.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 8 | -0.2 | -1.9 | 0:1 vs Carrarese (+2.0) | 2:4 vs Pergolettese (-2.1) |
16 | Novara | 38 | 49 | 55.4 | -6.4Underperforming −− | 6 | -1.9 | -4.5 | 1:2 vs Carrarese (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Pontedera (-1.8) |
17 | Lucchese | 38 | 31 | 38.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 20 | -4.0 | -3.1 | 0:1 vs Pontedera (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Grosseto (-1.5) |
18 | Carrarese | 38 | 44 | 57.6 | -13.6Underperforming −− | 5 | -10.1 | -3.5 | 1:2 vs Livorno (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Pergolettese (-2.0) |
19 | Livorno | 38 | 34 | 47.9 | -13.9Underperforming −− | 13 | -6.1 | -7.8 | 0:2 vs Pro Vercelli (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Pro Sesto (-1.7) |
20 | Pistoiese | 38 | 31 | 45.9 | -14.9Underperforming −− | 17 | +0.2 | -15.1 | 0:2 vs Grosseto (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Olbia (-1.5) |
