Serie C - Group Ahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sudtirol | 38 | 90 | 69.3 | +20.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +9.4 | +11.3 | 0:2 vs Pro Vercelli (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Piacenza (-1.8) |
2 | Padova | 38 | 85 | 73.3 | +11.7Outperforming ++ | 1 | +8.1 | +3.6 | 0:2 vs Triestina (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Virtus Verona (-2.4) |
3 | FeralpiSalo | 38 | 69 | 60.3 | +8.7Outperforming ++ | 3 | +5.6 | +3.1 | 0:2 vs Pro Vercelli (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Fiorenzuola (-2.0) |
4 | Renate | 38 | 62 | 57.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 5 | +3.4 | +1.5 | 2:3 vs AlbinoLeffe (+1.8) | 0:2 vs AlbinoLeffe (-1.9) |
5 | Juventus U23 | 38 | 54 | 51.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 9 | +8.0 | -5.6 | 1:0 vs FeralpiSalo (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Virtus Verona (-1.6) |
6 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 55 | 53.1 | +1.9On expectation | 7 | -0.9 | +2.8 | 0:3 vs FeralpiSalo (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Piacenza (-1.7) |
7 | Lecco | 38 | 55 | 53.4 | +1.6On expectation | 6 | +7.3 | -5.6 | 2:3 vs Renate (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Fiorenzuola (-1.6) |
8 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 43 | 41.5 | +1.5On expectation | 20 | -1.2 | +2.7 | 1:2 vs FeralpiSalo (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Seregno (-1.7) |
9 | Pergolettese | 38 | 47 | 45.8 | +1.2On expectation | 15 | +2.5 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs Triestina (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Fiorenzuola (-1.5) |
10 | Piacenza | 38 | 50 | 49.5 | +0.5On expectation | 10 | -0.2 | +0.8 | 2:3 vs AlbinoLeffe (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Pro Sesto (-1.9) |
11 | Triestina | 38 | 55 | 57.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 4 | -4.4 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs Seregno (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Pro Sesto (-2.0) |
12 | Pro Patria | 38 | 45 | 47.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 12 | -1.1 | -1.7 | 0:2 vs Virtus Verona (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Fiorenzuola (-1.8) |
13 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 45 | 47.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 11 | -0.9 | -2.0 | 1:2 vs Padova (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Pergolettese (-1.6) |
14 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 38 | 41.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 19 | -7.7 | +4.0 | 2:3 vs Triestina (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Legnago Salus (-1.6) |
15 | Mantova | 38 | 42 | 46.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 14 | +3.7 | -7.8 | 2:1 vs FeralpiSalo (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Pergolettese (-1.5) |
16 | Trento | 38 | 42 | 47.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 13 | -1.1 | -4.6 | 1:3 vs AlbinoLeffe (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Legnago Salus (-1.7) |
17 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 34 | 41.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 18 | -4.0 | -3.8 | 2:1 vs FeralpiSalo (+2.1) | 0:1 vs AlbinoLeffe (-1.4) |
18 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 45 | 52.9 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 8 | -14.6 | +6.7 | 0:2 vs Renate (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Seregno (-1.9) |
19 | Seregno | 38 | 34 | 45.1 | -11.1Underperforming −− | 16 | -11.9 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs AlbinoLeffe (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Pro Sesto (-1.8) |
20 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 30 | 44.1 | -14.1Underperforming −− | 17 | -13.3 | -0.8 | 0:1 vs Trento (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Seregno (-1.5) |
