Ostrava B vs Jihlava
ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-02 · 17:00 CET
WLLWD
WWDWWThe score model makes an Ostrava B win the most likely outcome at 46%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 48%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Ostrava B win — 45.8% vs 39.4% implied (+6.3 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Ostrava B 1.49 – 1.12 Jihlava.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrava B win | 45.8% | 39.4% | +6.3% |
| Draw | 25.6% | 26.8% | -1.2% |
| Jihlava win | 28.6% | 33.8% | -5.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.2% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.5% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 51.9% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 69.9% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 32.4% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Ostrava B 36.4 / Jihlava 42 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Ostrava B vs Jihlava in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.