The season in numbers
Blindly backing draws in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Kromeriz produced performances worth 4 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 27.4' on average.
Where the season is heading
straight-line pace · ~21 rounds leftAt their current points pace, Karvina finish top with ~60 points, but the title race is open: Usti nad Labem project within 1 points. The market's biggest argument is with Usti nad Labem: their results pace says ~60 points, the pace of their market prices (xPTS) says ~46 — one of them gives in.
| # | Team | Pts now | Results pace | Market pace | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karvina | 18 | 60 | 58 | +2 |
| 2 |  Usti nad Labem | 18 | 60 | 46 | +14 |
| 3 | Dukla Prague | 17 | 57 | 49 | +8 |
| 4 |  Jihlava | 16 | 53 | 46 | +8 |
| 5 |  Pribram | 14 | 47 | 39 | +8 |
| · · · | |||||
| 14 |  Prostejov | 8 | 27 | 37 | -10 |
| 15 | Trinec | 7 | 23 | 31 | -8 |
| 16 |  Kromeriz | 6 | 20 | 33 | -13 |
Straight-line pace over each team's remaining scheduled fixtures — not a simulation. Market pace extrapolates xPTS (the points the market's prices expected so far) the same way. Split and playoff rounds count once they're scheduled.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/czech-republic/chnl/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="FNL live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/czech-republic/chnl">FNL stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every FNL match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karvina | 18 | 17.3 | +0.7 | |
| 2 | Usti nad Labem | 18 | 13.7 | +4.3 | |
| 3 | Dukla Prague | 17 | 14.7 | +2.3 | |
| 4 | Jihlava | 16 | 13.7 | +2.3 | |
| 5 | Pribram | 14 | 11.6 | +2.4 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 14 | Prostejov | 8 | 11.0 | -3.0 | |
| 15 | Trinec | 7 | 9.3 | -2.3 | |
| 16 | Kromeriz | 6 | 10.0 | -4.0 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+