Hacken W vs Kristianstad W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-11-02 · 18:00 CET
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DLWWLThe score model makes a Hacken W win the most likely outcome at 86%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 74%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Hacken W win — 86.0% vs 70.2% implied (+15.8 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Hacken W 3.19 – 0.68 Kristianstad W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hacken W win | 86.0% | 70.2% | +15.8% |
| Draw | 8.8% | 18.1% | -9.3% |
| Kristianstad W win | 5.2% | 11.7% | -6.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.4% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.2% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54.0% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 46.8% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 80.7% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 48.9% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Hacken W 37.9 / Kristianstad W 37.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Hacken W vs Kristianstad W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.