Strategy tracker

Flat-stake backtests of blind market strategies, grouped by season. 50 of 140 are in profit — the margin eats the rest. Not recommendations.

What backing one market in every match of a league would have returned, at a flat stake. These are descriptive backtests, not recommendations: of the 140 strategies tracked right now, only 50 are in profit — the bookmaker margin eats the rest, and that's the honest headline. Leagues run on different calendars, so each league's latest season is listed under the season it belongs to; only compare returns within a table, never across them.

2026-2027 season

20 leagues · 140 strategies

Early days: the thinnest league here has only 9 matches settled, so these returns are a handful of results wide and will swing hard.

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1	Premier League·back away winssmall sample	▼ -7.2u	30	chart →
2	Premier League·back drawssmall sample	▲ +6.9u	30	chart →
3	Premier League·back home winssmall sample	▼ -1.7u	30	chart →
4	Premier League·back ht over 1.5small sample	▼ -1.0u	30	chart →
5	Premier League·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -3.2u	30	chart →
6	Premier League·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -5.0u	30	chart →
7	Premier League·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +1.5u	30	chart →
8	Championship·back away winssmall sample	▼ -10.2u	69	chart →
9	Championship·back drawssmall sample	▲ +5.1u	69	chart →
10	Championship·back home winssmall sample	▼ -9.2u	69	chart →
11	Championship·back ht over 1.5small sample	▲ +3.0u	69	chart →
12	Championship·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -10.8u	69	chart →
13	Championship·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +9.7u	69	chart →
14	Championship·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -21.3u	69	chart →
15	League One·back away winssmall sample	▲ +3.9u	59	chart →
16	League One·back drawssmall sample	▲ +3.0u	59	chart →
17	League One·back home winssmall sample	▼ -13.9u	59	chart →
18	League One·back ht over 1.5small sample	▲ +0.6u	59	chart →
19	League One·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -7.4u	59	chart →
20	League One·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +5.7u	59	chart →
21	League One·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -14.7u	59	chart →
22	League Two·back away winssmall sample	▼ -35.9u	60	chart →
23	League Two·back drawssmall sample	▲ +14.8u	60	chart →
24	League Two·back home winssmall sample	▲ +7.2u	60	chart →
25	League Two·back ht over 1.5small sample	▼ -9.1u	60	chart →
26	League Two·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -2.6u	60	chart →
27	League Two·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -4.4u	60	chart →
28	League Two·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -4.7u	60	chart →
29	National League·back away winssmall sample	▲ +2.1u	72	chart →
30	National League·back drawssmall sample	▼ -25.2u	72	chart →
31	National League·back home winssmall sample	▼ -1.1u	72	chart →
32	National League·back ht over 1.5small sample	▼ -21.6u	72	chart →
33	National League·back ht under 1.5small sample	▲ +4.4u	72	chart →
34	National League·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +0.3u	72	chart →
35	National League·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -14.2u	72	chart →
36	National League North·back away winssmall sample	▼ -3.1u	96	chart →
37	National League North·back drawssmall sample	▼ -31.6u	96	chart →
38	National League North·back home winssmall sample	▲ +1.5u	96	chart →
39	National League North·back ht over 1.5small sample	▼ -24.0u	96	chart →
40	National League North·back ht under 1.5small sample	▲ +2.5u	96	chart →
41	National League North·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -10.5u	96	chart →
42	National League North·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -2.4u	96	chart →
43	National League South·back away winssmall sample	▲ +1.3u	97	chart →
44	National League South·back drawssmall sample	▼ -8.2u	97	chart →
45	National League South·back home winssmall sample	▼ -25.5u	97	chart →
46	National League South·back ht over 1.5small sample	▲ +4.5u	97	chart →
47	National League South·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -17.9u	97	chart →
48	National League South·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -16.8u	97	chart →
49	National League South·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +4.0u	97	chart →
50	Professional Development League·back away winssmall sample	▲ +9.4u	23	chart →
51	Professional Development League·back drawssmall sample	▲ +2.4u	23	chart →
52	Professional Development League·back home winssmall sample	▼ -9.8u	23	chart →
53	Professional Development League·back ht over 1.5small sample	▲ +3.2u	23	chart →
54	Professional Development League·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -5.9u	23	chart →
55	Professional Development League·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -2.3u	23	chart →
56	Professional Development League·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +1.1u	23	chart →
57	LaLiga·back away winssmall sample	▼ -7.2u	41	chart →
58	LaLiga·back drawssmall sample	▼ -2.8u	41	chart →
59	LaLiga·back home winssmall sample	▲ +4.9u	41	chart →
60	LaLiga·back ht over 1.5small sample	▲ +6.4u	41	chart →
61	LaLiga·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -11.1u	41	chart →
62	LaLiga·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +1.0u	41	chart →
63	LaLiga·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -8.0u	41	chart →
64	LaLiga2·back away winssmall sample	▼ -4.3u	44	chart →
65	LaLiga2·back drawssmall sample	▼ -5.6u	44	chart →
66	LaLiga2·back home winssmall sample	▼ -3.3u	44	chart →
67	LaLiga2·back ht over 1.5small sample	▼ -14.9u	44	chart →
68	LaLiga2·back ht under 1.5small sample	▲ +2.1u	44	chart →
69	LaLiga2·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -12.2u	44	chart →
70	LaLiga2·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +1.9u	44	chart →
71	Primera RFEF - Group 1·back away winssmall sample	▼ -6.2u	20	chart →
72	Primera RFEF - Group 1·back drawssmall sample	▼ -4.6u	20	chart →
73	Primera RFEF - Group 1·back home winssmall sample	▲ +0.8u	20	chart →
74	Primera RFEF - Group 1·back ht over 1.5small sample	▼ -5.2u	20	chart →
75	Primera RFEF - Group 1·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -0.4u	20	chart →
76	Primera RFEF - Group 1·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -3.1u	20	chart →
77	Primera RFEF - Group 1·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -0.7u	20	chart →
78	Primera RFEF - Group 2·back away winssmall sample	▼ -5.9u	20	chart →
79	Primera RFEF - Group 2·back drawssmall sample	▼ -1.0u	20	chart →
80	Primera RFEF - Group 2·back home winssmall sample	▼ -2.9u	20	chart →
81	Primera RFEF - Group 2·back ht over 1.5small sample	▼ -3.8u	20	chart →
82	Primera RFEF - Group 2·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -0.2u	20	chart →
83	Primera RFEF - Group 2·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +4.7u	20	chart →
84	Primera RFEF - Group 2·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -4.8u	20	chart →
85	Segunda RFEF - Group 1·back away winssmall sample	▲ +2.9u	9	chart →
86	Segunda RFEF - Group 1·back drawssmall sample	▼ -3.0u	9	chart →
87	Segunda RFEF - Group 1·back home winssmall sample	▼ -3.0u	9	chart →
88	Segunda RFEF - Group 1·back ht over 1.5small sample	▲ +0.7u	9	chart →
89	Segunda RFEF - Group 1·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -1.3u	9	chart →
90	Segunda RFEF - Group 1·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +2.1u	9	chart →
91	Segunda RFEF - Group 1·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -3.0u	9	chart →
92	Segunda RFEF - Group 2·back away winssmall sample	▲ +0.5u	9	chart →
93	Segunda RFEF - Group 2·back drawssmall sample	▼ -0.9u	9	chart →
94	Segunda RFEF - Group 2·back home winssmall sample	▼ -3.2u	9	chart →
95	Segunda RFEF - Group 2·back ht over 1.5small sample	▲ +0.7u	9	chart →
96	Segunda RFEF - Group 2·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -1.0u	9	chart →
97	Segunda RFEF - Group 2·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -1.0u	9	chart →
98	Segunda RFEF - Group 2·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -0.1u	9	chart →
99	Segunda RFEF - Group 3·back away winssmall sample	▼ -4.5u	13	chart →
100	Segunda RFEF - Group 3·back drawssmall sample	▼ -0.3u	13	chart →
101	Segunda RFEF - Group 3·back home winssmall sample	▲ +0.8u	13	chart →
102	Segunda RFEF - Group 3·back ht over 1.5small sample	▼ -0.7u	13	chart →
103	Segunda RFEF - Group 3·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -0.9u	13	chart →
104	Segunda RFEF - Group 3·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -0.8u	13	chart →
105	Segunda RFEF - Group 3·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -1.9u	13	chart →
106	Segunda RFEF - Group 4·back away winssmall sample	▲ +0.3u	9	chart →
107	Segunda RFEF - Group 4·back drawssmall sample	▼ -1.7u	9	chart →
108	Segunda RFEF - Group 4·back home winssmall sample	▼ -2.0u	9	chart →
109	Segunda RFEF - Group 4·back ht over 1.5small sample	▼ -6.0u	9	chart →
110	Segunda RFEF - Group 4·back ht under 1.5small sample	▲ +2.0u	9	chart →
111	Segunda RFEF - Group 4·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +0.3u	9	chart →
112	Segunda RFEF - Group 4·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -1.1u	9	chart →
113	Segunda RFEF - Group 5·back away winssmall sample	▼ -0.4u	16	chart →
114	Segunda RFEF - Group 5·back drawssmall sample	▼ -5.5u	16	chart →
115	Segunda RFEF - Group 5·back home winssmall sample	▼ -1.2u	16	chart →
116	Segunda RFEF - Group 5·back ht over 1.5small sample	▼ -6.6u	16	chart →
117	Segunda RFEF - Group 5·back ht under 1.5small sample	▲ +1.9u	16	chart →
118	Segunda RFEF - Group 5·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +6.0u	16	chart →
119	Segunda RFEF - Group 5·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -6.0u	16	chart →
120	Bundesliga·back away winssmall sample	▼ -2.9u	18	chart →
121	Bundesliga·back drawssmall sample	▼ -2.5u	18	chart →
122	Bundesliga·back home winssmall sample	▲ +6.0u	18	chart →
123	Bundesliga·back ht over 1.5small sample	▼ -3.2u	18	chart →
124	Bundesliga·back ht under 1.5small sample	▲ +1.2u	18	chart →
125	Bundesliga·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +2.4u	18	chart →
126	Bundesliga·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -6.5u	18	chart →
127	2. Bundesliga·back away winssmall sample	▲ +3.7u	36	chart →
128	2. Bundesliga·back drawssmall sample	▲ +0.4u	36	chart →
129	2. Bundesliga·back home winssmall sample	▼ -7.4u	36	chart →
130	2. Bundesliga·back ht over 1.5small sample	▲ +8.1u	36	chart →
131	2. Bundesliga·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -11.1u	36	chart →
132	2. Bundesliga·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▲ +2.6u	36	chart →
133	2. Bundesliga·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -10.2u	36	chart →
134	3. Liga·back away winssmall sample	▲ +8.0u	40	chart →
135	3. Liga·back drawssmall sample	▼ -14.1u	40	chart →
136	3. Liga·back home winssmall sample	▼ -3.9u	40	chart →
137	3. Liga·back ht over 1.5small sample	▲ +0.2u	40	chart →
138	3. Liga·back ht under 1.5small sample	▼ -5.1u	40	chart →
139	3. Liga·back over 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -1.7u	40	chart →
140	3. Liga·back under 2.5 goalssmall sample	▼ -4.3u	40	chart →

Flat 1-unit stakes, average market odds, each league's latest season, updated every 6 hours. Statistics, not betting advice · 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.