The season in numbers
The outlier
+0.8uBlindly backing home wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-2.8 ptsUnionistas produced performances worth 3 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
25%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 37.1' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Primera RFEF - Group 1 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Home wins▲ +0.8u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every Primera RFEF - Group 1 match in 2026-2027: +0.8 units over 20 flat-stake bets.HT Under 1.5▼ -0.4u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every Primera RFEF - Group 1 match in 2026-2027: -0.4 units over 20 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▼ -0.7u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every Primera RFEF - Group 1 match in 2026-2027: -0.7 units over 20 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▼ -3.1u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every Primera RFEF - Group 1 match in 2026-2027: -3.1 units over 20 flat-stake bets.Draws▼ -4.6u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every Primera RFEF - Group 1 match in 2026-2027: -4.6 units over 20 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -5.2u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every Primera RFEF - Group 1 match in 2026-2027: -5.2 units over 20 flat-stake bets.Away wins▼ -6.2u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every Primera RFEF - Group 1 match in 2026-2027: -6.2 units over 20 flat-stake bets.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Union | 6 | 3.1 | +2.9 | |
| 2 |  Pontevedra | 6 | 3.0 | +3.0 | |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 6 | 2.6 | +3.4 | |
| 4 |  Lugo | 4 | 2.3 | +1.8 | |
| 5 |  Ath Bilbao B | 4 | 2.6 | +1.4 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 |  Real Aviles | 0 | 2.5 | -2.5 | |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 0 | 1.9 | -1.9 | |
| 20 |  Unionistas | 0 | 2.8 | -2.8 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisR. Union6 ptsPontevedra6 ptsUD Logrones6 ptsLugo4 ptsAth Bilbao B4 pts
Cacereno4 ptsCultural Leonesa4 pts
Ponferradina4 ptsMirandes3 ptsCD Coria3 ptsCD Extremadura3 ptsAD Merida3 pts
Zamora1 ptsDep. Fabril1 pts
Racing Club Ferrol1 pts
Arenas Getxo1 pts
Barakaldo1 ptsReal Aviles0 ptsUD Ourense0 ptsUnionistas0 pts
Pontevedra6 ptsUD Logrones6 ptsLugo4 ptsAth Bilbao B4 ptsCacereno4 ptsCultural Leonesa4 ptsPonferradina4 ptsMirandes3 ptsCD Coria3 ptsCD Extremadura3 ptsAD Merida3 ptsZamora1 ptsDep. Fabril1 ptsRacing Club Ferrol1 ptsArenas Getxo1 ptsBarakaldo1 ptsReal Aviles0 ptsUD Ourense0 ptsUnionistas0 ptsGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €295 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+