Primera RFEF - Group 1

We simulate the remaining Primera RFEF - Group 1 schedule 10,000 times a day. UD Logrones win the 2026-2027 title in 66% of them, projecting ~73 points; CD Extremadura are next at 15%. At the other end, UD Ourense finish in the bottom three in 98% of simulations.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	UD Logrones	20	73	64–82	66%	95%	—
2	CD Extremadura	13	65	56–74	15%	70%	<1%
3	Lugo	22	62	53–71	6%	48%	<1%
4	Pontevedra	14	59	51–68	3%	36%	<1%
5	Mirandes	14	58	49–66	2%	26%	<1%
· · ·
18	Dep. Fabril	8	36	28–44	—	<1%	71%
19	Arenas Getxo	5	33	25–41	—	—	87%
20	UD Ourense	5	27	20–34	—	—	98%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 290 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/spain/primera-rfef-group-1/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Primera RFEF - Group 1 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/spain/primera-rfef-group-1">Primera RFEF - Group 1 stats by Football Charts</a></p>

How each market's prices compared with what happened in every Primera RFEF - Group 1 match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.