The season in numbers
The outlier
+2.0uBlindly backing ht under 1.5 in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Fast starts
22%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 33.1' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Segunda RFEF - Group 4 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
HT Under 1.5▲ +2.0u
9 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every Segunda RFEF - Group 4 match in 2026-2027: +2.0 units over 9 flat-stake bets.Away wins▲ +0.3u
9 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every Segunda RFEF - Group 4 match in 2026-2027: +0.3 units over 9 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▲ +0.3u
9 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every Segunda RFEF - Group 4 match in 2026-2027: +0.3 units over 9 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▼ -1.1u
9 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every Segunda RFEF - Group 4 match in 2026-2027: -1.1 units over 9 flat-stake bets.Draws▼ -1.7u
9 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every Segunda RFEF - Group 4 match in 2026-2027: -1.7 units over 9 flat-stake bets.Home wins▼ -2.0u
9 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every Segunda RFEF - Group 4 match in 2026-2027: -2.0 units over 9 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -6.0u
9 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every Segunda RFEF - Group 4 match in 2026-2027: -6.0 units over 9 flat-stake bets.Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €296 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+






