Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 8 OctThe season in numbers
Over 2.5 goals paid out more than the market charged: +6.2% at market prices across 45 matches. The other 6 markets returned less than they cost — the bookmaker margin at work.
Antoniano produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 33.9' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →No matches for this view.
Add Segunda RFEF - Group 4 fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 8 OctWe simulate the remaining Segunda RFEF - Group 4 schedule 10,000 times a day. Betis B win the 2026-2027 title in 51% of them, projecting ~65 points; Recreativo Huelva are next at 23%. At the other end, Tamaraceite finish in the bottom three in 90% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betis B | 13 | 65 | 56–73 | 51% | 92% | — |
| 2 |  Recreativo Huelva | 12 | 61 | 52–69 | 23% | 78% | <1% |
| 3 | Tenerife B | 9 | 57 | 48–65 | 10% | 58% | <1% |
| 4 | Ciudad de Lucena | 8 | 55 | 46–63 | 6% | 47% | <1% |
| 5 | Sevilla FC B | 8 | 53 | 45–62 | 4% | 36% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 16 |  Antoniano | 2 | 38 | 30–47 | <1% | <1% | 31% |
| 17 | Las Palmas B | 4 | 29 | 22–37 | — | — | 86% |
| 18 | Tamaraceite | 3 | 27 | 20–35 | — | — | 90% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 261 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/spain/segunda-rfef-group-4/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Segunda RFEF - Group 4 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/spain/segunda-rfef-group-4">Segunda RFEF - Group 4 stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Segunda RFEF - Group 4 match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betis B | 13 | 8.0 | +5.0 | |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 12 | 9.0 | +3.0 | |
| 3 | Don Benito | 10 | 6.3 | +3.7 | |
| 4 | Tenerife B | 9 | 6.8 | +2.2 | |
| 5 | Ciudad de Lucena | 8 | 5.9 | +2.1 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 16 | Las Palmas B | 4 | 5.7 | -1.7 | |
| 17 | Tamaraceite | 3 | 5.3 | -2.3 | |
| 18 | Antoniano | 2 | 6.9 | -4.9 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+