Fastest starters
Recreativo Huelva24%
10 of their 42 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Recreativo Huelva33%
14 of their 42 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Deportiva Minera are 2025-2026 champions — 66 pts
Their xPTS said 52.3: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+220.4uBlindly backing home wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 4 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-13.2 ptsMalagueno produced performances worth 13 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
25%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 35.1' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Segunda RFEF - Group 4 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportiva Minera | 66 | 52.3 | +13.7 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | CD Extremadura | 66 | 53.4 | +12.6 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 | Aguilas FC |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
Follow the Segunda RFEF - Group 4
One email per matchweek: fixtures with data leans, who's outperforming the market, and anything it's mispricing. Starts with the 2026-27 season. No tips, no spam.
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+