Segunda RFEF - Group 4hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Deportiva Minera | 35 | 66 | 52.3 | +13.7Outperforming ++ | 6 | +12.6 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Aguilas FC (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Aguilas FC (-1.5) |
2 | Jaen | 35 | 61 | 48.4 | +12.6Outperforming ++ | 9 | +9.6 | +2.0 | 1:2 vs UCAM Murcia (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Malaga B (-1.9) |
3 | CD Extremadura | 35 | 66 | 53.4 | +12.6Outperforming ++ | 3 | +14.5 | -1.9 | 1:2 vs Aguilas FC (+1.9) | 2:4 vs Almeria B (-2.1) |
4 | Aguilas FC | 35 | 64 | 53.1 | +10.9Outperforming ++ | 4 | +3.6 | +4.4 | 0:1 vs Melilla (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Antoniano (-1.7) |
5 | Xerez CD | 35 | 62 | 52.6 | +9.4Outperforming ++ | 5 | +8.6 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Recreativo Huelva (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Puente Genil (-2.0) |
6 | Lorca Deportiva | 35 | 48 | 42.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 14 | +6.0 | -1.4 | 1:3 vs Linares (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Aguilas FC (-1.4) |
7 | Antoniano | 35 | 47 | 42.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 15 | +13.4 | -8.3 | 1:0 vs Aguilas FC (+2.0) | 3:2 vs Malaga B (-1.6) |
8 | Linares | 35 | 48 | 44.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 12 | -1.6 | +4.8 | 0:1 vs Jaen (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Lorca Deportiva (-1.8) |
9 | Recreativo Huelva | 35 | 60 | 58.5 | +1.5On expectation | 1 | +6.6 | -5.1 | 0:1 vs La Union (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Puente Genil (-2.1) |
10 | Puente Genil | 35 | 41 | 41.1 | -0.1On expectation | 16 | +6.4 | -6.5 | 1:2 vs Recreativo Huelva (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Almeria B (-1.5) |
11 | CD Estepona | 35 | 47 | 48.1 | -1.1On expectation | 10 | -8.2 | +7.1 | 0:3 vs La Union (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Yeclano (-1.7) |
12 | Yeclano | 35 | 47 | 48.5 | -1.5On expectation | 8 | +2.7 | -4.2 | 0:2 vs CD Estepona (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Almeria B (-1.6) |
13 | La Union | 35 | 48 | 49.5 | -1.5On expectation | 7 | -1.0 | -0.5 | 1:2 vs UCAM Murcia (+2.0) | 0:3 vs CD Estepona (-1.9) |
14 | UCAM Murcia | 35 | 55 | 56.8 | -1.8On expectation | 2 | +5.4 | -7.2 | 1:2 vs Aguilas FC (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Jaen (-1.7) |
15 | Xerez D.F.C. | 35 | 37 | 44.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 13 | -2.2 | -4.8 | 1:2 vs Linares (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Malaga B (-1.7) |
16 | Almeria B | 35 | 24 | 33.2 | -9.2Underperforming −− | 18 | -7.3 | -1.9 | 2:4 vs CD Extremadura (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Linares (-1.3) |
17 | Melilla | 35 | 37 | 46.7 | -9.7Underperforming −− | 11 | +2.2 | -11.9 | 2:0 vs UCAM Murcia (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Jaen (-1.6) |
18 | Malaga B | 34 | 21 | 33.4 | -12.4Underperforming −− | 17 | -1.4 | -11.0 | 2:1 vs Jaen (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Almeria B (-1.7) |
19 | Malagueno | 17 | 6 | 19.2 | -13.2Underperforming −− | 19 | -6.4 | -6.9 | 1:0 vs UCAM Murcia (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Almeria B (-1.7) |
